地调舆情2014年第30期（总第114期）

详细信息 来源：咨询服务室 发布日期：2014年8月18日

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le="LINE-HEIGHT: 26pt; TEXT-INDENT: -32.15pt; MARGIN: 7.8pt 0cm 0pt 32.15pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .0001pt; mso-para-margin-left: 32.15pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo3" class=MsoNormal>le="FONT-FAMILY: Courier; mso-fareast-font-family: Courier; mso-bidi-font-family: Courier" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">◆le="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">海外舆情le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>

le="LINE-HEIGHT: 26pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-list: l3 level1 lfo2" class=MsoNormal>le="FONT-FAMILY: Marlett; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Marlett; mso-bidi-font-family: Marlett" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">hle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">印尼禁令促使加工厂投资到le="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>2017le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年达到le="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>180le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿美元le="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>

le="LINE-HEIGHT: 26pt; TEXT-INDENT: -32.15pt; MARGIN: 7.8pt 0cm 0pt 32.15pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .0001pt; mso-para-margin-left: 32.15pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo3" class=MsoNormal>le="FONT-FAMILY: Courier; mso-fareast-font-family: Courier; mso-bidi-font-family: Courier" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">◆le="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">各地动态le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>

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舆论关注

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-list: l1 level2 lfo5">le="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">供需无明显改善le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt"> le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">妖le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">镍le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">短期妖不起来了。le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">新浪财经le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>8le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">月le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>15le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">日讯，印尼颁布的原矿出口禁令，造就了le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2014le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年镍价的疯狂，其区间最大涨幅超过le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>50%le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，一度突破le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>21500le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美元le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>/le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">吨大关，大有睥睨天下、舍我其谁的气度。在镍价暴涨的刺激下，近期，国际不少闲置镍矿厂商纷纷选择复产。不过，通过采访调查发现，虽然印尼禁令强硬实施，但是目前整个镍供需并未出现明显改善。短期来看，处于高位的镍价存在风险。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">背景分析：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">镍价的暴涨始于印尼禁令，该国政策一有风吹草动，镍价总会随之起伏。据外电le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>8le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">月le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>13le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">日消息，印尼能源和矿产资源部长表示，印尼下届政府将继续实施矿石出口禁令，印尼方面的表态无疑给镍价打了一剂强心针，投资者对镍矿供给短缺的预期重新升温。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国内供需分析：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">从国内看，中国镍矿库存下滑的速度远低于早前的预测。中国海关数据显示，le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2014le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年前le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>6le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">个月，虽然进口自印尼的镍矿总量同比缩减le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>47%le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，但进口自菲律宾的镍矿总量同比增长了le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>12%le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">。菲律宾进口的镍矿增量与中国消耗的镍矿量持平，中国镍矿库存耗尽的担忧并未在印尼出口禁令后真正出现。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">原因分析：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">富宝资讯镍行业分析师王学雷表示，le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">一方面，这段时间菲律宾矿进口量比较大；另一方面，下游需求确实比较疲沓。下游采购不积极，是造成国内镍矿库存维持在高位的另一个重要因素。”但长远来看，王学雷看好未来镍价上涨。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">专家预测：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">卓创资讯分析师许海滨认为，长期来看，全球镍矿企业复产对镍矿供给有一定影响，但是短期影响不大。一方面，国内镍进口主要是依赖印尼和菲律宾。而无论是澳大利亚和巴西，其运输成本太高，即便是复产也不会在国内考虑的范围内；另一方面，印尼建厂到投产也需要le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1~2le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年的时间，所以在未来印尼的镍矿供给依然紧张的前提下，镍价在未来le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年内仍有可能维持较为明显的上涨趋势。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-list: l1 level2 lfo5">le="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2020le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年产量目标骤降le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt"> le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">中国le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">页岩气革命le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">冷却。le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">第一财经日报le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>[le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">微博le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>]8le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">月le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>11le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">日讯，近日，国家能源局局长吴新雄在全国le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十三五le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">能源规划工作会议上表示，到le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2020le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年，页岩气和煤层气产量均达到le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>300le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿立方米。这一数据比le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2012le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年国家能源局在页岩气le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十二五le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">规划中提及的页岩气产量展望，已经减少了一半。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">该消息一出，惊动全行业，加上两个月前美国页岩气储量le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">乌龙”事件，引发了国内各利益攸关者的猜想。le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">油气改革执行者猜测：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">页岩气成为油气改革突破口的通道很可能在未来被关闭。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">地质勘探者猜测：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">中国页岩气le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>25le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">万亿立方米的技术可采资源量或成疑问，气源是否充足仍是问题le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>......

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">资本市场猜测：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">能源局此次下调le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2020le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年页岩气产量很可能释放出一种消极的油气改革信号，国家将削减对页岩气产业的扶持力度，减少页岩气项目的总量。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">资本市场变化：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">资本市场对页岩气市场再一次看空，这直接导致了一些投资者搁置甚至是取消已开展或是将要开展的页岩气投融资计划。他们认为国内油气上游区块开放无望。这并不言过其实，资本市场的嗅觉和警惕性总是敏锐得叫人吃惊，他们不会放任任何一个细微的政策变动，让自己的金钱永眠。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">事后，舆论对于减产的态度主要分为三派：le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">乐观派：le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>300le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">应该并非出自能源局油气司数据，该讲话内容也可能并不必然成为能源局未来的切实政策，国家是否真的会下调le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2020le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年产量预期，将最终取决于le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十三五le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">计划的出台。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">消极派：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">即便目标定为le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>300le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿方，我国页岩气产业都未必有能力实现。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">中间派le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：减产正说明中国在页岩气问题上日趋理性，le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十三五le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">最后产量预计与le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“300le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿方le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">不会有太大出入。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">小结：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">十八届三中全会定调le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">能源改革le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">势在必行，要求le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">在资源配置中市场要起决定性作用le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">。能源改革也将进一步朝着向市场放权，既突出市场作用，又加强政府宏观调控能力的模式发展。由此，面对计划与市场这对天生的le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>“le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">冤家le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>”le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，能源改革将改革出何种体制le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>?le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">改革到何种地步le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>?le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">未来我们是否仍需要国家为能源生产设定严格的产量目标le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>?le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">这些都是改革设计者所必须考虑的。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">对此，张茉楠提出以下五项建议，推动亚洲“能源一体化”建设：建立中国能源资源战略储备制度；要“走出去”，还要“拿回来”；确立海洋资源开发战略；全面深化能源资源外交；加强能源“互联互通”。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">舆情背景：le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>8le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">月le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>7le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">日，le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>WTOle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">宣布，欧美日对中国提起的稀有金属诉讼案中国败诉。这是终裁结果，预计le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">个月后正式文件下发。随后将是两个月左右执行谈判期。业界分析，le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2015le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年起中国实行稀有金属出口新政是大概率事件，包括降低关税、取消配额等。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">专家评论le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">国家稀土办贾银松主任在上周的包头稀土论坛上指出，未来稀土工作重点有三项：继续保持打击违法违规行为的高压态势；继续加快推进稀土集团组建步伐；完善相关的管理措施，研究制定稀土管理条例。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">专家评论le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>2le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">一位权威人士透露，为了应对稀土le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>WTOle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">败诉，年内或不断有政策出台消息。除了组建稀土大集团，包括大幅提高稀土资源税、出台稀有金属管理条例，将稀土、钨钼列为战略资源进行保护等。但能否遏制非法开采仍是成败关键。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">专家评论le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>3le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">一位分析师表示，在非法开采大量存在的背景下，靠稀土大集团控制供应、主导市场价格的政策设计效果存疑。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312" lang=EN-US>

le="LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; MARGIN: 7.8pt 0cm; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 122.5pt">le="mso-bookmark: _Toc320364014">le="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">海外舆情

le="LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-list: l1 level2 lfo5" align=center>le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">le/file?db=999041&rid=121&fid=1000000fd">

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">媒体报道：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">墨西哥一家西班牙语媒体报道，有毒物质的泄露是来自墨西哥集团的布埃纳维斯塔铜矿，该铜矿距离美国边境仅le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>40le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">千米。有毒物质已经污染了索诺拉河的支流—le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Bacanuchile="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">河。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">应急反应：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">墨西哥国家水务局正在对多个索诺拉河的多个低点进行监测，而且已经让该铜矿公司停止做出任何污染水体的事情，并命令公司实施整体补救计划。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">舆情背景：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">索诺拉州是墨西哥大约四分之一矿业公司的所在地，其在铜、金及石墨的生产方面领先于其它州。墨西哥联邦政府最近也向私营公司开放了墨西哥主要的能源行业，比如：电力生产及原油生产。在le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2009le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年，墨西哥集团的美国分公司—阿萨柯向美国政府支付了高达le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>17.9le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亿美元的罚款以支付其对le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>19le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">个州造成的污染。最近矿企的运营安全受到了人们的关注。帝国金属公司的博力山项目就因为尾矿泄露而造成了很大的水体污染。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-list: l1 level2 lfo5">le="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US>le="mso-list: Ignore">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">加拿大矿业合营公司欲加大在塞金矿开采力度。le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">环球网le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>8le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">月le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>15le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">日讯，近日，加拿大矿业合营公司（le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Terangale="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">）总经理迪乌夫向媒体表示，公司已决定在未来几周内将金矿开采活动向凯杜古地区le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Masatole="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">新矿点转移，以保持公司正常开采规模。据悉，位于le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Sabodalale="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">东北处le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Masatole="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">矿脉长le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1.5le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">公里，宽le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>600le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">米，金矿品位le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1.5le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">克吨，预计年产量le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>22le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">万盎司（le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>6le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">吨），可为该公司增加露天开采储量le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>120%le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，总储量达到le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>280le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">万盎司（le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>79.38le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">吨）。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">自从今年年初印度尼西亚为鼓励国内加工禁止出口矿石以来，镍成为涨幅位居第二位的商品。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">专家评论：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">澳大利亚国民银行经济学家le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>JamesGlennle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">表示，印度尼西亚出口禁令甫一出台，市场对其持怀疑态度，认为该政策不会长久。随后变得愈加清晰le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>——le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">该政策将维持一段时日。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">行业预测le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>1le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">法巴银行金属策略分析师le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>StephenBriggsle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">认为，若禁令维持不变，镍价有可能上涨到le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>25,000le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美元。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28.1pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">行业预测le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>2le="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">：le="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">法国兴业银行认为禁令推动市场向短缺发展，镍位列该行首选投资产品名单首位。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

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le="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; LINE-HEIGHT: 24pt; TEXT-INDENT: 28pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>OZle="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">矿业公司在牙买加的合作伙伴le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Carubele="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">资源公司首席执行官兰普顿称，公司将扩大勘探范围，下一步是在具有良好前景的le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Ginger Ridgele="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">和le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>Kolale="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">地区进行钻探。le="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt" lang=EN-US>

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地址：北京市海淀区学院路29号邮编：100083

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