长江经济带水足迹字典序优化配置研究——基于“人口-城乡-就业”视角
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摘要
针对长江经济带日益突出的人水矛盾,基于水足迹理论,构建基于人口数量的流域水足迹字典序优化配置模型,并提出水资源承载力的平衡指数模型,综合辨识人口结构对长江经济带水足迹字典序优化配置的作用机制。研究表明:人口总量对水足迹字典序优化配置具有显著的正向影响,人类活动强度是影响区域水资源承载力的平衡指数的关键要素;基于人口数量的流域水足迹字典序优化配置方案具有显著的城乡二元结构特征,本质上反映了城乡基础设施及产业结构的空间差异状态。该配置方案还具有人口就业结构特征,本质上反映了产业用水效率的空间差异状态。
Faced with the increasingly prominent contradiction between man and water and based on the theory of water footprints,this paper constructs a watershed lexicographic optimal allocation model pertaining to population quantity and proposes an Index of Water Supply and Demand(IWSD)model.The objective is to comprehensively identify the functional mechanisms of population structure in the lexicographic optimal allocation of water footprints.The results show:the population quantity has a significant positive impact on the lexicographic optimal allocation of water footprints.The intensity of human activity is a key factor affecting the regional IWSD.The lexicographic optimal allocation scheme of watershed water footprints based on population quantity has significant urban-rural dual structure characteristics,which essentially reflects the spatial difference state of urban and rural infrastructure and industrial structure.At the same time,the optimal allocation scheme also has the characteristics of employment structure,which essentially reflects the spatial difference state of industrial water use efficiency.
Faced with the increasingly prominent contradiction between man and water and based on the theory of water footprints,this paper constructs a watershed lexicographic optimal allocation model pertaining to population quantity and proposes an Index of Water Supply and Demand(IWSD)model.The objective is to comprehensively identify the functional mechanisms of population structure in the lexicographic optimal allocation of water footprints.The results show:the population quantity has a significant positive impact on the lexicographic optimal allocation of water footprints.The intensity of human activity is a key factor affecting the regional IWSD.The lexicographic optimal allocation scheme of watershed water footprints based on population quantity has significant urban-rural dual structure characteristics,which essentially reflects the spatial difference state of urban and rural infrastructure and industrial structure.At the same time,the optimal allocation scheme also has the characteristics of employment structure,which essentially reflects the spatial difference state of industrial water use efficiency.
引文
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[29]毋晓琴.建筑业及第三产业用水调查要点浅析[J].山西水利,2012(9):50-52.
[30]LIU G,SHI L,LI K W.Equitable allocation of blue and green water footprints based on land-use types:a case study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Sustainability,2018,10(10):3556.
[31]皮建才.领导、追随与社群合作的集体行动:基于公平相容约束的扩展[J].经济学(季刊),2007,6(2):597-606.
[32]夏军,朱一中.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(3):262-269.
[33]刘文静.大清河流域可利用水资源量演变规律研究[D].邯郸:河北工程大学,2014.
[34]FALKENMARK M,WIDSTRAND C.Population and water resources:a delicate balance[J].Population Bulletin,1993,47(3):1-36.
[2]吴兆丹,赵敏,UPMANU LALL,等.关于中国水足迹研究综述[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(11):73-80.
[3]ALLAN T.Virtual water:a long term solution for water short middle eastern economics[M].London:University of Leeds,1997:154-163.
[4]REES W E.Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out[J].Focus,1992,6(2):121-130.
[5]HOEKSTRA A Y.Virtual water trade:a quantification of virtual water flows between nations in relation to international crop trade[R].Netherlands:Value of Water Research Report Serien,2002.
[6]CHAPAGAIN A K,HOEKSTRA A Y.The global component of freshwater demand and supply:an assessment of virtual water flows between nations as a result of trade in agricultural and industrial products[J].Water International,2008,33(1):19-32.
[7]CHAPAGAIN A K,HOEKSTRA A Y.Water footprints of nations[R].Netherlands:UNESCO-IHE,2004.
[8]龙爱华,徐中民,张志强.西北四省(区)2000年的水资源足迹[J].冰川冻土,2003,25(6):94-102.
[9]孙才志,陈栓,赵良仕.基于ESDA的中国省际水足迹强度的空间关联格局分析[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(4):571-582.
[10]田贵良,顾巍,谢文轩.基于虚拟水贸易战略的缺水地区用水结构优化研究[J].水利经济,2013,31(1):1-6.
[11]王博.基于水足迹理论的吉林省辽河流域城市化进程中水资源可持续利用评价与优化配置研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2015.
[12]刘钢,王保平,徐业帅,等.长江经济带水足迹结构异化特征及协调发展策略研究[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,19(3):42-48.
[13]YAGER R R.On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decision making[J].IEEETransactions on Systems,Man and Cybernetics,1988,18(1):183-190.
[14]OGRYCZAK W,SLIWISKI T,WIERZBICKI A.Fair resource allocation schemes and network dimensioning problems[J].Journal of Telecommunications&Information Technology,2003,4(3):34-42.
[15]WURBS R A.Assessing water availability under a water rights priority system[J].Journal of Water Resources Planning&Management,2001,127(4):235-243.
[16]KLEIN R S,LUSS H,SMITH D R.A lexicographic minimax algorithm for multiperiod resource allocation[J].Mathematical Programming,1992,55(1):213-234.
[17]LUSS H,STEPHEN T,TUNCEL L.On equitable resource allocation problems:a lexicographic minimax approach[J].Operations Research,1999,47(3):361-376.
[18]MARCHI E,OVIEDO J A.Lexicographic optimality in the multiple objective linear programming:the nucleolar solution[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1992,57(3):355-359.
[19]PASANDIDEH S H R,NIAKI S T A,NIKNAMFAR AH.Lexicographic max-min approach for an integrated vendor-managed inventory problem[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2014,59(C):58-65.
[20]NIKNAMFAR A H,NIAKI S T A.Fair profit contract for a carrier collaboration framework in a green hub network under soft time-windows:dual lexicographic max-min approach[J].Transportation Research Part E Logistics&Transportation Review,2016(91):129-151.
[21]BUZN A,KOHNI M,JANCˇEK J.An approximative lexicographic min-max approach to the discrete facility location problem[J].Operations Research Proceedings,2014(9):71-76.
[22]LUSS H,SMITH D R.Resource allocation among competing activities:a lexicographic minimax approach[J].Operations Research Letters,1986,5(5):227-231.
[23]WANG L.Cooperative water resources allocation among competing users[D].Ontario:University of Waterloo,2005.
[24]MIMI Z A,SAWALHI B I.A decision tool for allocating the waters of the jordan river basin between all riparian parties[J].Water Resources Management,2003,17(6):447-461.
[25]PUTE W U,WANG Y,ZHAO X,et al.Spatiotemporal variation in water footprint of grain production in China[J].Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering,2015,2(2):6582-6586.
[26]ZHUO L,MEKONNEN M M,HOEKSTRA A Y.The effect of inter-annual variability of consumption,production,trade and climate on crop-related green and blue water footprints and inter-regional virtual water trade:a study for China(1978-2008)[J].Water Research,2016(94):73-85.
[27]KANG J,LIN J,ZHAO X,et al.Decomposition of the urban water footprint of food consumption:a case study of Xiamen city[J].Sustainability,2017,9(1):135-142.
[28]孙才志,刘玉玉,陈丽新.基于基尼系数和锡尔指数的中国水足迹强度时空差异变化格局[J].生态学报,2010,30(5):1312-1321.
[29]毋晓琴.建筑业及第三产业用水调查要点浅析[J].山西水利,2012(9):50-52.
[30]LIU G,SHI L,LI K W.Equitable allocation of blue and green water footprints based on land-use types:a case study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Sustainability,2018,10(10):3556.
[31]皮建才.领导、追随与社群合作的集体行动:基于公平相容约束的扩展[J].经济学(季刊),2007,6(2):597-606.
[32]夏军,朱一中.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(3):262-269.
[33]刘文静.大清河流域可利用水资源量演变规律研究[D].邯郸:河北工程大学,2014.
[34]FALKENMARK M,WIDSTRAND C.Population and water resources:a delicate balance[J].Population Bulletin,1993,47(3):1-36.