基于改进模糊物元法的电力自供区最优收购策略
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摘要
2015年新一轮电力体制改革背景下,为使电网公司在市场竞争中处于优势地位,选择优质电力自供区进行收购,保证存量市场十分重要。本文重点考虑影响电力自供区收购的因素,构建了电力自供区资产价值收购评价指标体系,利用信息熵赋权法确定资产价值收购评价指标权重,并在此基础上,对模糊物元法进行改进,提出一种基于改进模糊物元法的电力自供区客户价值评价模型。以某省8个自供区为例进行研究,结果表明,该方法可以客观有效的对自供区客户进行评价,提供最优收购策略,从而为电网公司资产收购提供参考和依据。
In the new round of power system reform in 2015,in order to enable grid companies to take a dominant position in the market competition,it is of importance to choose high-quality electricity acquired from the self-supplying area to ensure the stock market.This article focuses on the factors affecting the acquisition of electricity from the self-supplying area,builds the evaluation index system of assets acquisition from the power self-supplying area,and uses the information entropy method to determine the weight of the evaluation index of the assets value acquisition.Based on this,the fuzzy matter-element method is improved.This paper proposes a customer value evaluation model based on the improved fuzzy matter-element method.As for the province eight self-supplying area as an example application,the results show that this method can be the effective and objective evaluation on the supply area customers,and provides the best acquisition strategy,so as to present a reference and basis for the assets acquisition of power grid companies.
In the new round of power system reform in 2015,in order to enable grid companies to take a dominant position in the market competition,it is of importance to choose high-quality electricity acquired from the self-supplying area to ensure the stock market.This article focuses on the factors affecting the acquisition of electricity from the self-supplying area,builds the evaluation index system of assets acquisition from the power self-supplying area,and uses the information entropy method to determine the weight of the evaluation index of the assets value acquisition.Based on this,the fuzzy matter-element method is improved.This paper proposes a customer value evaluation model based on the improved fuzzy matter-element method.As for the province eight self-supplying area as an example application,the results show that this method can be the effective and objective evaluation on the supply area customers,and provides the best acquisition strategy,so as to present a reference and basis for the assets acquisition of power grid companies.
引文
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[13]李如忠.基于模糊物元分析原理的区域生态环境评价[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版),2006,29(5):597-601.LI Ruzhong.Regional eco-environmental quality assessment based on fuzzy matter-element analysis[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science),2006,29(5):597-601.
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[15]王亚萍,王秋萍,熊国强.基于级别高于关系的区间犹豫模糊决策新方法[J].西安理工大学学报,2017,33(1):86-92.WANG Yaping,WANG Qiuping,XIONG Guoqiang.A novel method for decision-making with the intervalvalued hesitant fuzzy set based on outranking relation[J].Journal of Xi’an University of Technology,2017,33(1):86-92.
[16]沈航.基于信息熵和模糊物元法的会计诚信评价[J].统计与决策,2014,(2):176-178.SHEN Hang.Accounting honesty evaluation based on information entropy and fuzzy matter-element method[J].Statistics and Decision,2014,(2):176-178.
[2]邹水坤.发电企业自建电源送出工程存在的问题与对策分析[J].安全与健康,2010,(7):44-45.ZOU Shuikun.Problems existing in power generation enterprise self-built power project and countermeasures analysis[J].Safety and Health,2010,(7):44-45.
[3]SANTOSO N B,BAHAWERES R B,ALAYDRUS M.Cost-benefits,NPV,IRR and QoS analysis of the dynamic telecytology system in Indonesia[C]∥2016 1st International Conference on Biomedical Engineering(IBIOMED),October 5-6,2016,Yogyakarta,c2016:1-6.
[4]毛玮阳.国家能源局:继续落实电源项目自建配套送出工程回购[N].机电商报,2015-06-22(A05).
[5]邹鹏,李春晖,郭静,等.考虑可中断负荷的配售电公司最优购售电策略[J].南方电网技术,2017,11(2):71-77.ZOU Peng,LI Chunhui,GUO Jing,et al.Optimal marketing strategy of distribution and retail companies considering interruptible load[J].Southern Power System Technology,2017,11(2):71-77.
[6]蒋习梅.节能成本分析法在节能技术评价中的应用[J].中国能源,2012,34(9):34-36.JIANG Ximei.Application of energy cost analysis in energy saving technology evaluation[J].Energy of China,2012,34(9):34-36.
[7]XIONG S,LI X.Empirical analysis:the parameter and internal rate return(IRR)of wind power factory in China[C]∥2010 International Forum on Information Technology and Applications,July 16-18,2010,Kunming,c 2010:377-380.
[8]谭丽娜.内部收益率在企业投资决策中的运用[J].统计与决策,2012,(3):183-185.TAN Lina.The application of internal rate of return in enterprise investment decision[J].Statistics and Decision,2012,(3):183-185.
[9]孙丙香,姜久春,张维戈,等.基于内部收益率法的动力电池租赁价格测算[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(13):27-30.SUN Bingxiang,JIANG Jiuchun,ZHANG Weige,et al.Measurement of the power battery leasing price based on the internal rate of return method[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(13):27-30.
[10]YUJIA T J,FINENKO A.Moving beyond LCOE:impact of various financing methods on PV profitability for SIDS[J].Energy Policy,2016,98:749-758.
[11]苏力.利用净现值率协调资本预算评价方法[J].财会通讯,2013,(17):65-66.SU Li.Use NPV to coordinate capital budgeting evaluation method[J].Communication of Finance and Accounting,2013,(17):65-66.
[12]RODRIGUES S,CHEN X J,MORGADO-DIAS F.Economic analysis of photovoltaic systems for the residential market under China’s new regulation[J].Energy Policy,2017,101:467-472.
[13]李如忠.基于模糊物元分析原理的区域生态环境评价[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版),2006,29(5):597-601.LI Ruzhong.Regional eco-environmental quality assessment based on fuzzy matter-element analysis[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science),2006,29(5):597-601.
[14]殷春武.模糊多准则群决策方法研究[D].西安:西安理工大学,2007.YIN Chunwu.The study of fuzzy multicriteria group decision making method[D].Xi’an:Xi’an University of Technology,2007.
[15]王亚萍,王秋萍,熊国强.基于级别高于关系的区间犹豫模糊决策新方法[J].西安理工大学学报,2017,33(1):86-92.WANG Yaping,WANG Qiuping,XIONG Guoqiang.A novel method for decision-making with the intervalvalued hesitant fuzzy set based on outranking relation[J].Journal of Xi’an University of Technology,2017,33(1):86-92.
[16]沈航.基于信息熵和模糊物元法的会计诚信评价[J].统计与决策,2014,(2):176-178.SHEN Hang.Accounting honesty evaluation based on information entropy and fuzzy matter-element method[J].Statistics and Decision,2014,(2):176-178.