技术差距理论框架下产业技术安全测度研究——以5G移动通信产业为例
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摘要
基于技术差距理论,从全新视角提出产业技术安全理论,改进技术差距率指标,构建包含多项指标的SQE综合评价模型,运用"熵值-灰色关联-TOPSIS"组合模型对产业技术安全进行评价。以2000-2016年世界5G移动通信产业专利数据为样本,对中国5G移动通信产业技术安全进行评价,结果表明:中国5G移动通信产业技术安全总体呈上升趋势,2000-2008年无显著增长,2008-2014年发展迅速。规模分量方面,规模安全总体呈阶梯型上升,安全性不断提高;质量分量方面,安全总体发展缓慢,且呈现先缓慢下降后高速增长;效益分量方面,总体增长缓慢,呈现阶段性波动过程。
Based on the technology gap theory, the concept of industrial technology security was put forward according to a new perspective. A new technical gap rate was structured for measuring industrial technology gap creatively, and an evaluation model(SQE model) was built too. An "Entropy-GRA-TOPSIS" model was used to evaluate industrial technology security. Then, worldwide, statistical patent data of 5 G industry from 2000-2016 is used to do empirical study. The results show that the technology security of China's 5 G industry has been on the rise, and there has been no significant growth from 2000 to 2008, and has witnessed rapid development from 2008 to 2014. In terms of scale, the value is increasing step by step, and the security is continuously improving. In terms of quality, the overall value is increasing slowly, it slow down among the first stage, and it grows at a high speed among the second stage. In terms of efficiency, the overall value improves slowly, showing a stage fluctuation process.
Based on the technology gap theory, the concept of industrial technology security was put forward according to a new perspective. A new technical gap rate was structured for measuring industrial technology gap creatively, and an evaluation model(SQE model) was built too. An "Entropy-GRA-TOPSIS" model was used to evaluate industrial technology security. Then, worldwide, statistical patent data of 5 G industry from 2000-2016 is used to do empirical study. The results show that the technology security of China's 5 G industry has been on the rise, and there has been no significant growth from 2000 to 2008, and has witnessed rapid development from 2008 to 2014. In terms of scale, the value is increasing step by step, and the security is continuously improving. In terms of quality, the overall value is increasing slowly, it slow down among the first stage, and it grows at a high speed among the second stage. In terms of efficiency, the overall value improves slowly, showing a stage fluctuation process.
引文
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[31] LERNER J.The importance of patent scope:an empirical analysis[J].The Rand Journal of Economics,1994,25(2):319-333.
[32] 李睿.专利被引频次和施引频次与专利价值的相关性解析-以在美注册的中国专利为样本[J].情报学报,2014,33(4):396-404.
[2] 芮雪琴,牛冲槐.能源产业技术安全及其影响因素分析[J].工业技术经济,2008,27(4):35-37.
[3] 朱星华.我国产业技术安全政策问题分析与建议[J].科技进步与对策,2009,26(18):28-30.
[4] 王发明,毛荐其.基于全球技术链的我国产业技术安全研究[J].经济与管理研究,2009(10):43-50.
[5] 毛荐其.技术全球化对我国产业技术安全的影响[J].山东工商学院学报,2009,23(2):1-6.
[6] 李燕,韩伯棠,张庆普.FDI溢出与区域技术差距的双门槛效应研究[J].科学学研究,2011(2):220-229.
[7] CIMOLI M,CORREA N.Trade openness and technological gaps in Latin America:a“low growth trap”[R].Sant'anna school of advanced study,2002.
[8] GERLACH S,YIU MS.Estimating output gaps in Asia:a cross country study[J].Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,2004,18(1):115-136.
[9] 黄凌云,吴维琼.FDI技术外溢与技术差距的门槛效应——基于中国工业企业的实证研究[J].财经科学,2013(3):52-59.
[10] 王明益.内外资技术差距与中国出口产品质量升级研究——基于中国7个制造业行业数据的经验研究[J].经济评论,2013(6):59-69.
[11] 宋炜.技术差距、外资来源与工业全要素生产率——基于中间品三维框架的分析[J].软科学,2016(8):34-37.
[12] 傅帅雄,罗来军.技术差距促进国际贸易吗?——基于引力模型的实证研究[J].管理世界,2017(2):43-52.
[13] 孙江永,冼国明.产业关联、技术差距与外商直接投资的技术溢出[J].世界经济研究,2011(4):55-61.
[14] 张同斌,李金凯,高铁梅.技术差距变动、研发资源驱动与技术进步效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(1):131-139.
[15] 韩慧,赵国浩.对外直接投资影响我国创新能力的机制与实证研究——技术差距视角的门槛检验[J].科技进步与对策,2018,35(4):32-37.
[16] 黄漓江,桑百川.进口溢出对企业生产率的影响——基于技术差距的视角[J].世界经济研究,2017(6):122-134.
[17] 范黎波,郑建明,江琳.技术差距、技术扩散与收敛效应:来自134个国家技术成就指数的证据[J].中国工业经济,2008(9):69-76.
[18] United Nation Development Program.Human development report 2001:making new technologies work for human development[R].New York:2001.
[19] 余昌龙.基于拔靴法的省际面板双门限模型对技术差距与劳动生产率的测算[J].统计与决策,2014(24):100-103.
[20] 贺灿飞,潘峰华.溢出效应还是挤出效应——对北京市制造业外商直接投资的实证分析[J].中国软科学,2006(7):96-104.
[21] FU XIAOLAN,YANG,QING GONG.Exploring the cross-country gap in patenting:a stochastic frontier approach[J].Research Policy,2009,38(7):1203-1213.
[22] 国胜铁,杨博,王林辉.产品质量、技术差距与技术引进效率:来自上海市制造业的经验证据[J].宏观经济研究,2018(3):103-117.
[23] 李建蓉.专利文献与信息[M].北京:知识产权出版社,2002.
[24] 周密.技术差距理论综述[J].经济社会体制比较,2009(3):186-191.
[25] GRILICHES Z I.Issues in assessing the contribution of R&D to productivity growth[[J].Bell Journal of Economics,1979(10):92-116.
[26] 杨武,吴圣谷.高校专利工作统计分析综述[J].研究与发展管理,1991(2):67-70.
[27] ABERT M B,AVERY D,NARIN F.Direct validation of citation counts as indicators of industrially important patents [J].Research Policy,1991,20(3):251-259.
[28] HARHOFF D,NARIN F,SCHERER F M.Citation frequency and the value of patented inventions[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,1999(8):511-515.
[29] 杨中楷,孙玉涛.基于专利引用的国家技术力量指标比较[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2005(10):11-14.
[30] 冯君.h指数应用于专利影响力评价的探讨[J].情报杂志,2009(12):16-20.
[31] LERNER J.The importance of patent scope:an empirical analysis[J].The Rand Journal of Economics,1994,25(2):319-333.
[32] 李睿.专利被引频次和施引频次与专利价值的相关性解析-以在美注册的中国专利为样本[J].情报学报,2014,33(4):396-404.