基于变异系数法与TOPSIS的充填管道失效风险评价
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摘要
为准确预测矿山充填管道失效风险,建立基于变异系数法与TOPSIS结合的充填管道失效风险评价模型。选取8项指标构建失效风险评价体系,根据变异系数法,客观地对评价指标进行赋权,避免了主观认知对指标重要性程度的干扰。将权重矩阵、实际生产数据代入TOPSIS模型中,通过计算结果与正理想解的接近程度,最终对矿山充填管道失效风险进行合理评价,为矿山采取预防措施、降低管道失效事故提供了新途径。
In order to accurately predict the failure risk of mine filling pipeline,a failure risk assessment model of filling pipeline based on variation coefficient method and TOPSIS was established.Eight indexes were selected to construct the failure risk evaluation system,and the evaluation indexes were weighted objectively according to the variation coefficient method,so as to avoid the interference of subjective cognition on the importance degree of indexes.The weight matrix and actual production data were substituted into the TOPSIS model,and the failure risk of mine filling pipeline was finally evaluated reasonably by the close degree of the calculation result and the positive ideal solution,which provided a new way for the mine to take preventive measures and reduce pipeline failure accidents.
In order to accurately predict the failure risk of mine filling pipeline,a failure risk assessment model of filling pipeline based on variation coefficient method and TOPSIS was established.Eight indexes were selected to construct the failure risk evaluation system,and the evaluation indexes were weighted objectively according to the variation coefficient method,so as to avoid the interference of subjective cognition on the importance degree of indexes.The weight matrix and actual production data were substituted into the TOPSIS model,and the failure risk of mine filling pipeline was finally evaluated reasonably by the close degree of the calculation result and the positive ideal solution,which provided a new way for the mine to take preventive measures and reduce pipeline failure accidents.
引文
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[10]赵微,林健,王树芳,等.变异系数法评价人类活动对地下水环境的影响[J].环境科学,2013,34(4):1 277-1 283.
[11]石宝峰,程砚秋,王静.变异系数加权的组合赋权模型及科技评价实证[J].科研管理,2016,37(5):122-131.
[12]张子龙,孙萌,李凯明,等.基于TOPSIS-RSR法的三七连作障碍消减效应综合评价[J].中国生态农业学报,2015,23(6):713-724.
[13]俞立平,潘云涛,武夷山.TOPSIS在期刊评价中的应用及在高次幂下的推广[J].统计研究,2012,29(12):96-101.
[14]张钦礼,曹瑞锋,王石,等.基于熵权和综合指数模型的充填管道堵塞风险性评价[J].广西大学学报:自然科学版,2013,38(4):1 021-1 025.
[15]过江,张碧肖.基于PCA与BP神经网络的充填管道失效风险评估[J].黄金科学技术,2015,23(5):66-71.
[2]李尚辉,饶运章,许威,等.某铜矿高硫尾砂充填体膨胀特性试验研究[J].矿业研究与开发,2018,38(3):83-87.
[3]王新民,王石,鄢德波,等.基于未确知测度理论的充填管道堵塞风险性评价[J].中国安全科学学报,2012,22(4):151-156.
[4]邵亚平,郭利杰,陈寅,等.基于环管试验确定粗骨料膏体充填料浆管道输送参数[J].有色金属(矿山部分),2018,70(4):20-23.
[5]关贤欢,郑相悦,荣帅.地下矿山充填管道堵塞风险评估模型研究[J].化工矿物与加工,2018,47(7):51-56.
[6]刘晓辉,吴爱祥,王洪江,等.深井矿山充填满管输送理论及应用[J].北京科技大学学报,2013,35(9):1 113-1 118.
[7]张钦礼,周碧辉,王新民,等.充填管道失效风险性预测精度研究[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),2014,45(8):2 805-2 811.
[8]冯巨恩,吴超.深井充填管道失效概率准则的模糊综合评判[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),2005(6):1 079-1 083.
[9]郑晶晶,张钦礼,王新民,等.充填管道系统失效模式与影响分析(FMEA)及失效影响模糊评估[J].中国安全科学学报,2009,19(6):166-171.
[10]赵微,林健,王树芳,等.变异系数法评价人类活动对地下水环境的影响[J].环境科学,2013,34(4):1 277-1 283.
[11]石宝峰,程砚秋,王静.变异系数加权的组合赋权模型及科技评价实证[J].科研管理,2016,37(5):122-131.
[12]张子龙,孙萌,李凯明,等.基于TOPSIS-RSR法的三七连作障碍消减效应综合评价[J].中国生态农业学报,2015,23(6):713-724.
[13]俞立平,潘云涛,武夷山.TOPSIS在期刊评价中的应用及在高次幂下的推广[J].统计研究,2012,29(12):96-101.
[14]张钦礼,曹瑞锋,王石,等.基于熵权和综合指数模型的充填管道堵塞风险性评价[J].广西大学学报:自然科学版,2013,38(4):1 021-1 025.
[15]过江,张碧肖.基于PCA与BP神经网络的充填管道失效风险评估[J].黄金科学技术,2015,23(5):66-71.