太阳活动对地球气候和天气的影响
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摘要
本文介绍近年来太阳活动对地球气候和天气影响方面的主要研究成果。包括四个关键的问题:(1)太阳活动与地球系统的能量收支;(2)太阳活动对地球气候的影响(包含气候变化、温室效应、火山);(3)太阳活动对季风和天气的影响与(4)太阳活动的变化会造成地球的长期寒冷气候吗?通过对上述问题的阐述,可以深入认识太阳活动对地球气候和天气影响的事实与机理,以及对未来地球气候可能变化的前景,从而为认识地球气候和天气变化的原因和驱动力提供更全面、更深刻的认识。
In this paper, the main research achievements about the influence of solar activity on the climate and weather of the earth are introduced. Four key issues are discussed, which are:(1) solar activity and the energy budget of the earth system;(2) impact of solar activity on the earth's climate, including climate change, greenhouse effect and volcanoes;(3) effect of solar activity on monsoon and weather; and(4) whether changes of solar activity will cause long-term cold climate of the earth. The elaboration to these issues is helpful for deeply understanding the fact and mechanism of the influence of solar activity on the climate and weather of the earth, and also the prospect of the possible changes of the earth's climate in the future. Thus, I hope this paper could present a more comprehensive and profound understanding of the causes and driving forces of climate and weather change on the earth.
In this paper, the main research achievements about the influence of solar activity on the climate and weather of the earth are introduced. Four key issues are discussed, which are:(1) solar activity and the energy budget of the earth system;(2) impact of solar activity on the earth's climate, including climate change, greenhouse effect and volcanoes;(3) effect of solar activity on monsoon and weather; and(4) whether changes of solar activity will cause long-term cold climate of the earth. The elaboration to these issues is helpful for deeply understanding the fact and mechanism of the influence of solar activity on the climate and weather of the earth, and also the prospect of the possible changes of the earth's climate in the future. Thus, I hope this paper could present a more comprehensive and profound understanding of the causes and driving forces of climate and weather change on the earth.
引文
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IPCC,2013. Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis:Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. New York:Cambridge University Press:1535.
Kodera K,Thieblemont R,Yukimoto S,et al,2016. How can we understand the global distribution of the solar cycle signal on the earth's surface?[J]. Atmos Chem Phys,16(20):12926-12944.
Matthes K,Funke B, Andersson M E,et al,2017. Solar forcing for CMIP6(v3. 2)[J].Geosci Model Dev, 10(6):2247-2302.
Mohtadi M,Prange M,Steinke S,2016. Palaeoclimatic insights into forcing and response of monsoon rainfall[J]. Nature, 533(7602):191-199.
Zhao L,Wang J S,2014. Robust response of the East Asian monsoon rainband to solar variability[J]. J Climate,27(8):3043-3051.
Zhao L,Wang J S,Liu H W,et al,2017. Amplification of the solar signal in the summer monsoon rainband in China by synergistic actions of different dynamical responses[J]. J Meteor Res, 31(1):61-72.
丁一汇,司东,柳艳菊,等,2018.论东亚夏季风的特征、驱动力与年代际变化[J].大气科学,42(3):533-558. Ding Y H,Si D,Liu Y J,et al, 2018. On the characteristics,driving forces and interdecadal variability of the East Asian summer monsoon[J]. Chin J Atmos Sci,42(3):533-558(in Chinese).
王绍武,2011.全新世气候变化[M].北京:气象出版社:212. Wang S W,2011. Holocene Climate Change[M]. Beijing:China Meteorological Press:212(in Chinese).
王绍武,黄建斌,闻新宇,2012.古气候的启示[J].气象,38(3):257-265. Wang S W,Huang J B,Wen X Y,2012. Implications of paleoclimate[J]. Meteor Mon,38(3):257-265(in Chinese).
Gray L J,Beer J, Geller M,et al,2010. Solar influences on climate[J]. Rev Geophys,48(4):RG4001.
IPCC,2013. Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis:Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. New York:Cambridge University Press:1535.
Kodera K,Thieblemont R,Yukimoto S,et al,2016. How can we understand the global distribution of the solar cycle signal on the earth's surface?[J]. Atmos Chem Phys,16(20):12926-12944.
Matthes K,Funke B, Andersson M E,et al,2017. Solar forcing for CMIP6(v3. 2)[J].Geosci Model Dev, 10(6):2247-2302.
Mohtadi M,Prange M,Steinke S,2016. Palaeoclimatic insights into forcing and response of monsoon rainfall[J]. Nature, 533(7602):191-199.
Zhao L,Wang J S,2014. Robust response of the East Asian monsoon rainband to solar variability[J]. J Climate,27(8):3043-3051.
Zhao L,Wang J S,Liu H W,et al,2017. Amplification of the solar signal in the summer monsoon rainband in China by synergistic actions of different dynamical responses[J]. J Meteor Res, 31(1):61-72.