陕西省经济增长与能源消耗和碳排放关系研究
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摘要
选取2001年-2011年间统计数据,对陕西省经济发展、能源消耗和碳排放量的情况进行分析,并应用"脱钩"理论对经济增长与能源消耗和碳排放之间关系进行研究。结果表明:2002年-2008年经济增长与能源消耗脱钩指数和经济增长与碳排放脱钩指数均处在扩展脱钩状态,发展状况不太理想;2009年-2011年两个指数均处在弱脱钩状态,状况有所改善,但经济发展质量总体水平不高。提出调整能源产业消费结构、通过技术进步,提高能源利用率及调整产业结构三方面建议。
Selecting statistical data from 2001 to 2011,this paper analyzes the economic development,energy consumption and carbon emissions situations in Shaanxi province. The "uncoupling"theory is applied to study the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption and carbon emissions. The results demonstrates that 2002- 2008 the uncoupling index of economic growth and energy consumption and economic growth from carbon emissions are all at extended uncoupling state,development situation is not very ideal; 2009- 2011 two index are in weak uncoupling state,conditions have improved,but the quality of the overall level of economic development is not high. The results suggested that the energy consumption structure should be adjusted through technological progress to improve energy utilization and the adjustment of industrial structure three aspects.
Selecting statistical data from 2001 to 2011,this paper analyzes the economic development,energy consumption and carbon emissions situations in Shaanxi province. The "uncoupling"theory is applied to study the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption and carbon emissions. The results demonstrates that 2002- 2008 the uncoupling index of economic growth and energy consumption and economic growth from carbon emissions are all at extended uncoupling state,development situation is not very ideal; 2009- 2011 two index are in weak uncoupling state,conditions have improved,but the quality of the overall level of economic development is not high. The results suggested that the energy consumption structure should be adjusted through technological progress to improve energy utilization and the adjustment of industrial structure three aspects.
引文
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[3]Ehrlich P R,Holden jp.L.Impact of population growth[J].Science,171:1212-1217.
[4]Tapio P..Towards a theory of decoupling:degrees in the EU and the case of the road traffic in finland between 1970 and2001[J].Journal of Transport policy,2005(12):137-151.
[5]Ko K R.,Benders R.M.J.,Moll H.C..Measuring the environmental load house hold consumption using some methods based on input-out energy analysis[J]:a comparison of methods and a discussion of results policy,2006,34(17):2744-2761.
[6]Ramakrishnan Ramanathan.A multi-factor efficiency perspective to the relationships among world GDP,energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission[J].Technological Forecasting&Social Change,2006(73):483-494.
[7]Ugur Soytas,Ramazan Sari,Bradley T.Ewing.Energy consumption,income,and carbon emissions in the United States[J].Ecological Economics,2007(62):482-489.
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