我国冬小麦产区麦长管蚜种群多点时空动态及广域因子分析
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摘要
麦长管蚜是广域发生的麦类作物重要害虫。了解广域麦长管蚜种群时空动态规律有助于确定广域农药施用必要性和施用时间,为大范围内麦长管蚜综合防治提供支持。本文使用非参数检验法比较了武汉、新乡、安阳、临汾、北京5个地点麦长管蚜发生高峰期、高峰期蚜量差异,利用逐步回归法构建了我国冬小麦产区范围内麦长管蚜高峰期蚜量与高峰期前2周初始虫量、高峰期前三周气象因子关系模型,具体表达式为Log(PN)=0.478* Log(IN)-0.18* Tave-0.007* Rainfall+6.384。结果表明麦长管蚜发生高峰期、高峰期蚜量自北向南逐渐递减,初始虫量、平均温度、降雨量是决定高峰期蚜量的广域因子。
Sitobion avenae is one of the most damaging pest in wheat crops,widely distributed in China.Understanding the general spatiotemporal dynamic of S. avenae is helpful to determine the necessity and application time of pesticide over wide range and benefical to integrated control. We used the nonparameter method to compare the difference of Peak Day,Peak Number of S. avenae between five sites including Wuhan,Xinxiang,Anyang,Linfen,Beijing. The regression model between Peak Number,Initial Number of two weeks before Peak Day,meteorological factors of three weeks before Peak Day was built through Stepwise regression method. The equation expression was Log(PN) = 0.478* Log(IN)-0.18* Tave-0.007* Rainfall + 6.384. The result showed that Peak Day and Peak Number decreased from north to south in china. Initial Number,average temperature,Rainfall were key factors determining Peak Number of S. avenae.
Sitobion avenae is one of the most damaging pest in wheat crops,widely distributed in China.Understanding the general spatiotemporal dynamic of S. avenae is helpful to determine the necessity and application time of pesticide over wide range and benefical to integrated control. We used the nonparameter method to compare the difference of Peak Day,Peak Number of S. avenae between five sites including Wuhan,Xinxiang,Anyang,Linfen,Beijing. The regression model between Peak Number,Initial Number of two weeks before Peak Day,meteorological factors of three weeks before Peak Day was built through Stepwise regression method. The equation expression was Log(PN) = 0.478* Log(IN)-0.18* Tave-0.007* Rainfall + 6.384. The result showed that Peak Day and Peak Number decreased from north to south in china. Initial Number,average temperature,Rainfall were key factors determining Peak Number of S. avenae.
引文
Bell JR,Alderson L,Izera D,et al.Long-term phenological trends,species accumulation rates,aphid traits and climate:Five decades of change in migrating aphids[J].Journal of Animal Ecology,2015,84(1):21-34.
Bewick S.Current and future challenges of predictive insect population modelling[J].Functional Ecology,2016,30(7):1028-1029.
Boggs CL,Inouye DW.A single climate driver has direct and indirect effects on insect population dynamics[J].Ecology Letters,2012,15(5):502-508.
Carter N.Simulation modelling of the population dynamics of cereal aphids[J].Biosystems,1985,18(1):111.
Ciss M,Parisey N,Moreau F,et al.A spatiotemporal model for predicting grain aphid population dynamics and optimizing insecticide sprays at the scale of continental France[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2014,21(7):4819-4827.
Du GQ,Yin J,Cao YZ,et al.Factors that affect using suction traps to monitor the migration of Sitobion avenae(Fabricius)[J].ChineseJournal of Applied Entomology,2014,51(6):1516-1523.[杜光青,尹姣,曹雅忠,等.吸虫塔对麦长管蚜迁飞监测的影响因素分析[J].应用昆虫学报,2014,51(6):1516-1523]
Duffy C,Fealy R,Fealy RM.An improved simulation model to describe the temperature-dependent population dynamics of the grain aphid,Sitobion avenae[J].Ecological Modelling,2017,354:140-171.
Edwards OR,Franzmann B,Thackray D,et al.Insecticide resistance and implications for future aphid management in Australian grains and pastures:A review[J].Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture,2008,48(12):1523-1530.
Entwistle JC,Dixon A.Short-term forecasting of peak population density of the grain aphid(Sitobion avenae)on wheat[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1986,109(2):215-222.
Foster SP,Paul VL,Slater R,et al.A mutation(L1014F)in the voltage-gated sodium channel of the grain aphid,Sitobion avenae,is associated with resistance to pyrethroid insecticides[J].Pest Management Science,2014,70(8):1249-1253.
Gosselke U,Triltsch H,Roβberg D,et al.GETLAUS01-The latest version of a model for simulating aphid population dynamics in dependence on antagonists in wheat[J].Ecological Modelling,2001,145(2):143-157.
Hansen LM.Models for spring migration of two aphid species Sitobion avenae(F.)and Rhopalosiphum padi(L.)infesting cereals in areas where they are entirely holocyclic[J].Agricultural and Forest Entomology,2006,8(2):83-88.
Honek A,Martinkova Z,Dixon A,et al.Annual predictions of the peak numbers of Sitobion avenae infesting winter wheat[J].Journal of Applied Entomology,2017,141(5):352-362.
Jonsson M,Sigvald R.Suction-trap catches partially predict infestations of the grain aphid Sitobion avenae in winter wheat fields[J].Journal of Applied Entomology,2016,140(7):553-557.
Leblanc A,Brodeur J.Estimating parasitoid impact on aphid populations in the field[J].Biological Control,2018,119:33-42.
Li KB,Du GQ,Yin J,et al.Monitoring the migration of Sitobion avenae(Fabricius)by suction trapping[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Entomology,2014(6):1504-1515.[李克斌,杜光青,尹姣,等.利用吸虫塔对麦长管蚜迁飞活动的监测[J].应用昆虫学报,2014(6):1504-1515]
Llewellyn KS,Loxdale HD,Harrington R,et al.Migration and genetic structure of the grain aphid(Sitobion avenae)in Britain related to climate and clonal fluctuation as revealed using microsatellites[J].Molecular Ecology,2003,12(1):21-34.
Ma CS,Wang L,Zhang W,et al.Resolving biological impacts of multiple heat waves:Interaction of hot and recovery days[J].Oikos,2017.
Ma CS,Ma G,Zhao F.Impact of global warming on cereal aphids[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Entomology,2014(6):1435-1443.[马春森,马罡,赵飞.气候变暖对麦蚜的影响[J].应用昆虫学报,2014(6):1435-1443]
Ma G,Rudolf VHW,Ma C.Extreme temperature events alter demographic rates,relative fitness,and community structure[J].Global Change Biology,2015,21(5):1794-1808.
Ma XG,Shen ZR,Hu BH.Stochastic simulate risk factor of Sitobion avenae[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica,2003(8):916-921.[马晓光,沈佐锐,胡伯海.麦长管蚜风险因子随机模拟研究[J].中国农业科学,2003(8):916-921]
Mann JA,Tatchell GM,Dupuch MJ,et al.Movement of apterous Sitobion avenae(Homoptera:Aphididae)in response to leaf disturbances caused by wind and rain[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1995,126(3):417-427.
Miao L,Yue X,Zhang XY,et al.The qual itative forecasting model based on the cloud model and its application in Macrosiphum avenae[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica,2002,35(6):654-659.[苗良,岳训,张新谊,等.基于云模型的定性预报模型及其在麦长管蚜预报中的应用[J].中国农业科学,2002,35(6):654-659]
Qian XJ,Liang JY,Liu CZ.Occurrence regulation and forecast model of Macrosiphum avenae in wheat field in Gaolan county[J].Journal of Gansu Agricultural University,2004(2):183-185.[钱秀娟,梁俊燕,刘长仲.皋兰县麦长管蚜的田间消长规律及预测模型[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2004(2):183-185]
Rabbinge R,Ankersmit GW,Pak GA.Epidemiology and simulation of population development of Sitobion avenae in winter wheat[J].Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology,1979,85(5):197-220.
TrávnícˇkováM,PánkováK,Martinkova Z,et al.Length of prematurity period in wheat cultivars determines maximum cereal aphid abundance[J].Plant Protection Science,2016,52(4):254-261.
Walters K,Dewar AM.Overwintering strategy and the timing of the spring migration of the cereal aphids Sitobion avenae and Sitobion fragariae[J].Journal of Applied Ecology,1986:905-915.
Wang B,Li KB,Yin J,et al.Rain and wind interfere with natural population development of Macrosiphum avenae(Fabricius)[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2009(8):4317-4324.[王冰,李克斌,尹姣,等.风雨对麦长管蚜自然种群发展的干扰作用[J].生态学报,2009(8):4317-4324]
Wang L,Hui C,Sandhu HS,et al.Population dynamics and associated factors of cereal aphids and armyworms under global change[J].Scientific Reports,2015,5:18801.
Watt AD.The effect of cereal growth stages on the reproductive activity of Sitobion avenae and Metopolophium dirhodum[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1979,91(2):147-157.
White TCR.The role of food,weather and climate in limiting the abundance of animals[J].Biological Reviews,2008,83(3):227-248.
Wu W,Piyaratne MKDK,Zhao H,et al.Butterfly catastrophe model for wheat aphid population dynamics:Construction,analysis and application[J].Ecological Modelling,2014,288(Supp.C):55-61.
Yu ZX,Wu YQ,Jiang YL,et al.Forward trajectory analysis of wheat aphids during long-distance migration using HYSPLIT model[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2011(3):889-896.[郁振兴,武予清,蒋月丽,等.利用HYSPLIT模型分析麦蚜远距离迁飞前向轨迹[J].生态学报,2011(3):889-896]
Zadoks JC,Chang TT,Konzak CF.A decimal code for the growth stages of cereals[J].Weed Research,1974,14(6):415-421.
Zhao F,Zhang W,Hoffmann AA,et al.Night warming on hot days produces novel impacts on development,survival and reproduction in a small arthropod[J].Journal of Animal Ecology,2014,83(4):769-778.
Bewick S.Current and future challenges of predictive insect population modelling[J].Functional Ecology,2016,30(7):1028-1029.
Boggs CL,Inouye DW.A single climate driver has direct and indirect effects on insect population dynamics[J].Ecology Letters,2012,15(5):502-508.
Carter N.Simulation modelling of the population dynamics of cereal aphids[J].Biosystems,1985,18(1):111.
Ciss M,Parisey N,Moreau F,et al.A spatiotemporal model for predicting grain aphid population dynamics and optimizing insecticide sprays at the scale of continental France[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2014,21(7):4819-4827.
Du GQ,Yin J,Cao YZ,et al.Factors that affect using suction traps to monitor the migration of Sitobion avenae(Fabricius)[J].ChineseJournal of Applied Entomology,2014,51(6):1516-1523.[杜光青,尹姣,曹雅忠,等.吸虫塔对麦长管蚜迁飞监测的影响因素分析[J].应用昆虫学报,2014,51(6):1516-1523]
Duffy C,Fealy R,Fealy RM.An improved simulation model to describe the temperature-dependent population dynamics of the grain aphid,Sitobion avenae[J].Ecological Modelling,2017,354:140-171.
Edwards OR,Franzmann B,Thackray D,et al.Insecticide resistance and implications for future aphid management in Australian grains and pastures:A review[J].Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture,2008,48(12):1523-1530.
Entwistle JC,Dixon A.Short-term forecasting of peak population density of the grain aphid(Sitobion avenae)on wheat[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1986,109(2):215-222.
Foster SP,Paul VL,Slater R,et al.A mutation(L1014F)in the voltage-gated sodium channel of the grain aphid,Sitobion avenae,is associated with resistance to pyrethroid insecticides[J].Pest Management Science,2014,70(8):1249-1253.
Gosselke U,Triltsch H,Roβberg D,et al.GETLAUS01-The latest version of a model for simulating aphid population dynamics in dependence on antagonists in wheat[J].Ecological Modelling,2001,145(2):143-157.
Hansen LM.Models for spring migration of two aphid species Sitobion avenae(F.)and Rhopalosiphum padi(L.)infesting cereals in areas where they are entirely holocyclic[J].Agricultural and Forest Entomology,2006,8(2):83-88.
Honek A,Martinkova Z,Dixon A,et al.Annual predictions of the peak numbers of Sitobion avenae infesting winter wheat[J].Journal of Applied Entomology,2017,141(5):352-362.
Jonsson M,Sigvald R.Suction-trap catches partially predict infestations of the grain aphid Sitobion avenae in winter wheat fields[J].Journal of Applied Entomology,2016,140(7):553-557.
Leblanc A,Brodeur J.Estimating parasitoid impact on aphid populations in the field[J].Biological Control,2018,119:33-42.
Li KB,Du GQ,Yin J,et al.Monitoring the migration of Sitobion avenae(Fabricius)by suction trapping[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Entomology,2014(6):1504-1515.[李克斌,杜光青,尹姣,等.利用吸虫塔对麦长管蚜迁飞活动的监测[J].应用昆虫学报,2014(6):1504-1515]
Llewellyn KS,Loxdale HD,Harrington R,et al.Migration and genetic structure of the grain aphid(Sitobion avenae)in Britain related to climate and clonal fluctuation as revealed using microsatellites[J].Molecular Ecology,2003,12(1):21-34.
Ma CS,Wang L,Zhang W,et al.Resolving biological impacts of multiple heat waves:Interaction of hot and recovery days[J].Oikos,2017.
Ma CS,Ma G,Zhao F.Impact of global warming on cereal aphids[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Entomology,2014(6):1435-1443.[马春森,马罡,赵飞.气候变暖对麦蚜的影响[J].应用昆虫学报,2014(6):1435-1443]
Ma G,Rudolf VHW,Ma C.Extreme temperature events alter demographic rates,relative fitness,and community structure[J].Global Change Biology,2015,21(5):1794-1808.
Ma XG,Shen ZR,Hu BH.Stochastic simulate risk factor of Sitobion avenae[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica,2003(8):916-921.[马晓光,沈佐锐,胡伯海.麦长管蚜风险因子随机模拟研究[J].中国农业科学,2003(8):916-921]
Mann JA,Tatchell GM,Dupuch MJ,et al.Movement of apterous Sitobion avenae(Homoptera:Aphididae)in response to leaf disturbances caused by wind and rain[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1995,126(3):417-427.
Miao L,Yue X,Zhang XY,et al.The qual itative forecasting model based on the cloud model and its application in Macrosiphum avenae[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica,2002,35(6):654-659.[苗良,岳训,张新谊,等.基于云模型的定性预报模型及其在麦长管蚜预报中的应用[J].中国农业科学,2002,35(6):654-659]
Qian XJ,Liang JY,Liu CZ.Occurrence regulation and forecast model of Macrosiphum avenae in wheat field in Gaolan county[J].Journal of Gansu Agricultural University,2004(2):183-185.[钱秀娟,梁俊燕,刘长仲.皋兰县麦长管蚜的田间消长规律及预测模型[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2004(2):183-185]
Rabbinge R,Ankersmit GW,Pak GA.Epidemiology and simulation of population development of Sitobion avenae in winter wheat[J].Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology,1979,85(5):197-220.
TrávnícˇkováM,PánkováK,Martinkova Z,et al.Length of prematurity period in wheat cultivars determines maximum cereal aphid abundance[J].Plant Protection Science,2016,52(4):254-261.
Walters K,Dewar AM.Overwintering strategy and the timing of the spring migration of the cereal aphids Sitobion avenae and Sitobion fragariae[J].Journal of Applied Ecology,1986:905-915.
Wang B,Li KB,Yin J,et al.Rain and wind interfere with natural population development of Macrosiphum avenae(Fabricius)[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2009(8):4317-4324.[王冰,李克斌,尹姣,等.风雨对麦长管蚜自然种群发展的干扰作用[J].生态学报,2009(8):4317-4324]
Wang L,Hui C,Sandhu HS,et al.Population dynamics and associated factors of cereal aphids and armyworms under global change[J].Scientific Reports,2015,5:18801.
Watt AD.The effect of cereal growth stages on the reproductive activity of Sitobion avenae and Metopolophium dirhodum[J].Annals of Applied Biology,1979,91(2):147-157.
White TCR.The role of food,weather and climate in limiting the abundance of animals[J].Biological Reviews,2008,83(3):227-248.
Wu W,Piyaratne MKDK,Zhao H,et al.Butterfly catastrophe model for wheat aphid population dynamics:Construction,analysis and application[J].Ecological Modelling,2014,288(Supp.C):55-61.
Yu ZX,Wu YQ,Jiang YL,et al.Forward trajectory analysis of wheat aphids during long-distance migration using HYSPLIT model[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2011(3):889-896.[郁振兴,武予清,蒋月丽,等.利用HYSPLIT模型分析麦蚜远距离迁飞前向轨迹[J].生态学报,2011(3):889-896]
Zadoks JC,Chang TT,Konzak CF.A decimal code for the growth stages of cereals[J].Weed Research,1974,14(6):415-421.
Zhao F,Zhang W,Hoffmann AA,et al.Night warming on hot days produces novel impacts on development,survival and reproduction in a small arthropod[J].Journal of Animal Ecology,2014,83(4):769-778.