产业结构变迁对海洋经济发展的影响——基于沿海11省市的实证分析
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摘要
本文以我国沿海11个省市为研究对象,将其划分为北部、中部以及南部海洋经济圈,在测度其产业结构合理化与产业结构高度化的基础上,研究不同地区间产业结构合理化以及产业结构高度化对于海洋经济发展的影响。结果表明, 1999-2017年间,三个经济圈的产业结构合理化与产业结构高度化都在逐步提升。产业结构合理化与产业结构高度化均对海洋经济发展产生显著的正向作用。进一步的分析发现,产业结构高度化对于海洋经济增长的偏效应远高于产业结构合理化对于经济增长的偏效应。
This paper takes 11 provinces along the eastern coast as the object of study,divides the eastern coastal area into the Northern Marine Economic Circle, the Central Marine Economic Circle and the Southern Marine Economic Circle. On the basis of measuring the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure, this paper studies the influence of the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure on the economic development in different regions. The empirical results show that, the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure of three economic circles are rising gradually during 1999-2017, and the rationalization level of the Central Marine economic circle is higher than the other two economic circles. The influence of the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure on the economic development has a significant positive effect, and their mechanism on economic development is unchanged.The partial effect of the supererogation of industrial structure on the economic growth is much higher than that of the rationalization of industrial structure.
This paper takes 11 provinces along the eastern coast as the object of study,divides the eastern coastal area into the Northern Marine Economic Circle, the Central Marine Economic Circle and the Southern Marine Economic Circle. On the basis of measuring the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure, this paper studies the influence of the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure on the economic development in different regions. The empirical results show that, the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure of three economic circles are rising gradually during 1999-2017, and the rationalization level of the Central Marine economic circle is higher than the other two economic circles. The influence of the rationalization and supererogation of industrial structure on the economic development has a significant positive effect, and their mechanism on economic development is unchanged.The partial effect of the supererogation of industrial structure on the economic growth is much higher than that of the rationalization of industrial structure.
引文
[1]Pasinetti L L.Structural change and economic growth:A Theoretical Essay on the Dynamics of the Wealth of Nations[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,1983.
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[3]Michael P.Industrial structure and aggregate growth[J].Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2003,14(4):427-448.
[4]付凌晖.我国产业结构高级化与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].统计研究,2010(8):79-81.
[5]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,46(05):4-16+31.
[6]何平,陈丹丹,贾喜越.产业结构优化研究[J].统计研究,2014(7):31-37
[7]陶桂芬,方晶.区域产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响---基于1978-2013年15个省份的实证研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2016(11):88-100.
[8]王波,韩立民.中国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的影响---基于沿海11省市的面板门槛效应回归分析[J].资源科学,2017(6):1182-1193.
[9]章成,平瑛.海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济效率影响研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2017(11):91-96.
[10]Frank M W.Income inequality and economic growth in the U.S.:a panel cointegration approach[R].Working Papers,2005.
[2]钱纳里.工业化和经济增长的比较研究[M].上海:上海三联书店,1989
[3]Michael P.Industrial structure and aggregate growth[J].Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2003,14(4):427-448.
[4]付凌晖.我国产业结构高级化与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].统计研究,2010(8):79-81.
[5]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,46(05):4-16+31.
[6]何平,陈丹丹,贾喜越.产业结构优化研究[J].统计研究,2014(7):31-37
[7]陶桂芬,方晶.区域产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响---基于1978-2013年15个省份的实证研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2016(11):88-100.
[8]王波,韩立民.中国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的影响---基于沿海11省市的面板门槛效应回归分析[J].资源科学,2017(6):1182-1193.
[9]章成,平瑛.海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济效率影响研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2017(11):91-96.
[10]Frank M W.Income inequality and economic growth in the U.S.:a panel cointegration approach[R].Working Papers,2005.