Maize yields in Benin's 77 districts were relatively low and highly variable.
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Annual yield increase over 20 years fitted an exponential smoothing model.
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The trend explained 1–78% of yield variability within the agro-ecological zones.
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Rain during full vegetative growth explained 15–77% of this variability.
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Soil, technology and farmer's capabilities explained more variability in drier zones.
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