Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

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• 作者：Shilpa Rao^a ; ^b ; ^{rao@iiasa.ac.at} ; Zbigniew Klimont^a ; Steven J. Smith^c ; ^d ; Rita Van Dingenen^e ; Frank Dentener^e ; Lex Bouwman^f ; ^g ; Keywan Riahi^a ; ^h ; Markus Amann^a ; Benjamin Leon Bodirskyⁱ ; ^j ; Detlef P. van Vuuren^f ; ^k ; Lara Aleluia Reis^l ; ^m ; Katherine Calvin^c ; Laurent Drouet^l ; ^m ; Oliver Fricko^a ; Shinichiro Fujimoriⁿ ; David Gernaat^f ; Petr Havlik^a ; Mathijs Harmsen^f ; Tomoko Hasegawaⁿ ; Chris Heyes^a ; Jé ; rô ; me Hilaireⁱ ; ^o ; Gunnar Ludererⁱ ; Toshihiko Masuiⁿ ; Elke Stehfest^f ; Jessica Streflerⁱ ; Sietske van der Sluis^f ; Massimo Tavoni^l ; ^m ; ^p
• 关键词：Scenarios ; Air pollution ; Integrated assessment models
• 刊名：Global Environmental Change
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：42
• 期：Complete
• 页码：346-358
• 全文大小：2568 K
• 卷排序：42

文摘

New generation of global long-term air pollution scenarios guided by the narratives consistent with the past air pollution policy experience and SSP storylines. The future air pollutant trajectories indicate a wider range of outcomes than in previous global scenarios like RCP. Ambitious new air quality policies and efficient enforcement assured by state of the art technology and functioning institutions, as assumed in SSP1 and SSP5 driven narratives, allows achieving significant improvement of air quality. The new scenarios offer potential for further in-depth analysis at the global and regional level including both climate and air pollution studies.