The aim of this study was to quantify the impact of different types and magnitudes of dosimetric uncertainties in cervix cancer brachytherapy (BT) on tumour control probability (TCP) and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) curves.
Materials and methods
A dose–response simulation study was based on systematic and random dose uncertainties and TCP/NTCP models for CTV and rectum. Large patient cohorts were simulated assuming different levels of dosimetric uncertainties. TCP and NTCP were computed, based on the planned doses, the simulated dose uncertainty, and an underlying TCP/NTCP model. Systematic uncertainties of 3–20% and random uncertainties with a 5–30% standard deviation per BT fraction were analysed.
Results
Systematic dose uncertainties of 5% lead to a 1% decrease/increase of TCP/NTCP, while random uncertainties of 10% had negligible impact on the dose–response curve at clinically relevant dose levels for target and OAR. Random OAR dose uncertainties of 30% resulted in an NTCP increase of 3–4% for planned doses of 70–80 Gy EQD2.
Conclusion
TCP is robust to dosimetric uncertainties when dose prescription is in the more flat region of the dose–response curve at doses >75 Gy. For OARs, improved clinical outcome is expected by reduction of uncertainties via sophisticated dose delivery and treatment verification.
