Imaging and Sleeping Beauty: A case for double-halfers

详细信息    查看全文

• 作者：Mika&#xeb ; l Cozic ; ^a ; ^{mikael.cozic@ens.fr}
• 关键词：Imaging ; Conditionalization ; Revising ; Updating ; Belief dynamics
• 刊名：International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
• 出版年：2011
• 出版时间：February 2011
• 年：2011
• 卷：52
• 期：2
• 页码：137-143
• 全文大小：203 K

文摘

The aim of this paper is to provide a case for the double-halfer position in the sleeping beauty. This case relies on the use of the so-called imaging rule for probabilistic dynamics as a substitute for conditionalization. It is argued that the imaging rule is the appropriate one for dealing with belief change in sleeping beauty and that under natural assumptions, this rule results in the double-halfer position.