Electricity supply and demand scenarios for the Southern African power pool

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• 作者：Randall. Spalding-Fecher^a ; ^{randall.spaldingfecher@gmail.com} ; Mamahloko Senatla^b ; ¹ ; ^{msenatla@gmail.com} ; Francis Yamba^c ; ^{ceeez2015@gmail.com} ; Biness Lukwesa^c ; ^{ceeez2015@gmail.com} ; Grayson Himunzowa^c ; ^{ceeez2015@gmail.com} ; Charles Heaps^d ; ^{cheaps@sei-us.org} ; Arthur Chapman^e ; ^{rarthur.chapman@gmail.com} ; Gilberto Mahumane^f ; ² ; ^{gilberto.mahumane@gmail.com} ; Bernard Tembo^g ; ^{ben2great@yahoo.co.uk} ; Imasiku Nyambe^h ; ^{inyambe@unza.zm}
• 关键词：Electricity supply and demand ; Southern Africa ; Optimisation modelling ; Bottom-up demand analysis
• 刊名：Energy Policy
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：101
• 期：Complete
• 页码：403-414
• 全文大小：1854 K
• 卷排序：101

文摘

Electricity demand in southern Africa could increase by 8–14 times by 2070. Supply could shift towards greater regional and fuel diversity. Renewables could dominate supply in many countries as capital costs decline. Grid integration for non-dispatchable renewables will require investment.