A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events

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A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events

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作者：Jonggul Lee^a ; ^{jack9872@konkuk.ac.kr" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; Gerardo Chowell^b ; ^c ; ^{gchowell@gsu.edu" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; Eunok Jung^a ; ^{junge@konkuk.ac.kr" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author}
关键词：MERS ; Superspreader ; Nosocomial infections ; Mathematical modeling ; Republic of Korea ; Infectious diseases
刊名：Journal of Theoretical Biology
出版年：2016
出版时间：7 November 2016
年：2016
卷：408
期：Complete
页码：118-126
全文大小：932 K

文摘

•: A dynamic transmission model for the 2015 MERS outbreak in the Republic of Korea is proposed.
•: Our model incorporates the superspreading events by pulses of infections.
•: We explore the impact of the timing for hypothetical control scenarios.
•: We analyze uncertainties focused on the role of superspreading events.