Bulk ship fleet renewal and deployment under uncertainty: A multi-stage stochastic programming approach

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• 作者：Ayşe N. Arslan^a ; ^{nur.arslan@ufl.edu} ; Dimitri J. Papageorgiou^b ; ^{dimitri.j.papageorgiou@exxonmobil.com}
• 关键词：Chartering ; Fleet planning ; Fleet renewal ; Maritime transportation ; Mixed-integer linear programming ; Multi-stage stochastic programming
• 刊名：Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：97
• 期：Complete
• 页码：69-96
• 全文大小：2640 K
• 卷排序：97

文摘

The first application of multi-stage stochastic programming to bulk ship fleet renewal. The first bulk shipping model to treat time charter durations as a decision variable. A model that explicitly considers demand and charter cost uncertainty is presented. The benefits of different scenario trees and look-ahead horizons are investigated. Better to model uncertainty of near future with more detail than that of distant future.