Detecting and Attributing the Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of Snake Species Over the Past 50 Years

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• 作者：Jianguo Wu
• 关键词：Attribution ; Biodiversity ; Climate change ; Distribution ; Detection ; Snake
• 刊名：Environmental Management
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：January 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：57
• 期：1
• 页码：207-219
• 全文大小：2,179 KB
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• 作者单位：Jianguo Wu (1)
  
  1. The Center for Climate Change, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, No. 8, Da Yang Fang, Beiyuan, Anwai, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100012, China
  
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Environment
  Environmental Management
  Ecology
  Nature Conservation
  Atmospheric Protection, Air Quality Control and Air Pollution
  Forestry Management
  Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution
  
• 出版者：Springer New York
• ISSN：1432-1009

文摘

It is unclear whether the distributions of snakes have changed in association with climate change over the past years. We detected the distribution changes of snakes over the past 50 years and determined whether the changes could be attributed to recent climate change in China. Long-term records of the distribution of nine snake species in China, grey relationship analysis, fuzzy sets classification techniques, the consistency index, and attributed methods were used. Over the past 50 years, the distributions of snake species have changed in multiple directions, primarily shifting northwards, and most of the changes were related to the thermal index. Driven by climatic factors over the past 50 years, the distribution boundary and distribution centers of some species changed with the fluctuations. The observed and predicted changes in distribution were highly consistent for some snake species. The changes in the northern limits of distributions of nearly half of the species, as well as the southern and eastern limits, and the distribution centers of some snake species can be attributed to climate change. Keywords Attribution Biodiversity Climate change Distribution Detection Snake