Forecasting ozone concentrations in the east of Croatia using nonparametric Neural Network Models
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  • 作者:ELVIRA KOVAČ-ANDRIĆ ; ALAA SHETA ; HOSSAM FARIS…
  • 刊名:Journal of Earth System Science
  • 出版年:2016
  • 出版时间:July 2016
  • 年:2016
  • 卷:125
  • 期:5
  • 页码:997-1006
  • 全文大小:1,142 KB
  • 刊物类别:Earth and Environmental Science
  • 刊物主题:Earth sciences
    Geosciences
    Extraterrestrial Physics and Space Sciences
  • 出版者:Springer India
  • ISSN:0973-774X
  • 卷排序:125
文摘
Ozone is one of the most significant secondary pollutants with numerous negative effects on human health and environment including plants and vegetation. Therefore, more effort is made recently by governments and associations to predict ozone concentrations which could help in establishing better plans and regulation for environment protection. In this study, we use two Artificial Neural Network based approaches (MPL and RBF) to develop, for the first time, accurate ozone prediction models, one for urban and another one for rural area in the eastern part of Croatia. The evaluation of actual against the predicted ozone concentrations revealed that MLP and RBF models are very competitive for the training and testing data in the case of Kopački Rit area whereas in the case of Osijek city, MLP shows better evaluation results with 9% improvement in the correlation coefficient. Furthermore, subsequent feature selection process has improved the prediction power of RBF network.KeywordsOzonePM10rural and urban areaprediction modelsartificial neural networks
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