Entry–Exit Decisions with Underlying Processes Following Geometric Lévy Processes
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  • 作者:Yong-Chao Zhang
  • 关键词:Entry time ; Exit time ; Geometric Lévy process ; Wiener–Hopf factorization
  • 刊名:Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications
  • 出版年:2017
  • 出版时间:January 2017
  • 年:2017
  • 卷:172
  • 期:1
  • 页码:309-327
  • 全文大小:
  • 刊物主题:Calculus of Variations and Optimal Control; Optimization; Optimization; Theory of Computation; Applications of Mathematics; Engineering, general; Operation Research/Decision Theory;
  • 出版者:Springer US
  • ISSN:1573-2878
  • 卷排序:172
文摘
We study, from the perspective of optimal stopping theory, entry–exit decision problems of a project in the context that the log-price process follows a Lévy process with exponential jumps. A closed-form solution to the problems is obtained. To be specific, we show explicitly an optimal entry time, an optimal exit time and an expression of the maximal expected present value of the project. Moreover, it is also anatomized how the jumping of the Lévy process affects optimal entry and exit times. While the negative effect of jumping on prices grows, the optimal exit time gets earlier, and the optimal entry time, however, first moves up and then moves down. In addition, the optimal exit time decreases with the frequency increasing of jumps when the negative effect dominates the positive effect, and increases when the opposite situation holds; the optimal entry time first increases and then decreases as the frequency becomes higher if the negative effect dominates the positive effect, and increases if the contrary condition is satisfied.
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