On Mechanistic Explanation of the Shape of the Universal Curve of Earthquake Recurrence Time Distributions

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• 作者：Mariusz BiałEcki
• 关键词：Key wordsstochastic cellular automaton ; earthquake recurrence time ; avalanches ; toy model of earthquakes ; Markov chains
• 刊名：Acta Geophysica
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：October 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：63
• 期：5
• 页码：1205-1215
• 全文大小：150KB
• 刊物主题：Geophysics/Geodesy; Structural Geology; Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences;
• 出版者：Springer International Publishing
• ISSN：1895-7455
• 卷排序：63

文摘

This paper outlines an idea for an explanation of a mechanism underlying the shape of the universal curve of the Earthquake Recurrence Time Distributions. The proposed simple stochastic cellular automaton model is reproducing the gamma distribution fit with the proper value of parameter γ characterizing the Earth’s seismicity and also imitates a deviation from the fit at short interevent times, as observed in real data.