An Analysis of Beijing HFMD Patients Mobility Pattern during Seeking Treatment

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• 作者：Zhaonan Zhu (23)
  Zhidong Cao (23)
  Daniel Dajun Zeng (23)
  
• 关键词：Hand ; foot ; mouth disease ; mobility pattern ; spatial ; temporal analysis ; gravity model
• 刊名：Lecture Notes in Computer Science
• 出版年：2013
• 出版时间：2013
• 年：2013
• 卷：8040
• 期：1
• 页码：31-32
• 全文大小：504KB
• 参考文献：1. Cao, Z., Zeng, D., Wang, Q., Zheng, X., Wang, F.: An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic. Chinese Science Bulletin聽55, 1142鈥?149 (2010) CrossRef
  2. Chen, K.T., Chang, H.L., Wang, S.T., et al.: Epidemiologic features of hand-foot-mouth disease and herpangina caused by enterovirus 71 in Taiwan, 1998-2005. Pediatrics聽120, E244鈥揈252 (2007)
  3. Truscott, J., Ferguson, N.M.: Evaluating the Adequacy of Gravity Models as a Description of Human Mobility for Epidemic Modelling. PLoS Comput. Biol.聽8, e1002699 (2012)
  4. Casey, H.J.: Applications to traffic engineering of the law of retail gravitation. Traffic Quarterly聽IX(1), 23鈥?5 (1995)
  5. Cheng, Z., Caverleem, J., Lee, K., et al.: Exploring Millions of Footprints in Location Sharing Services. In: ICWSM 2011 (2011)
  
• 作者单位：Zhaonan Zhu (23)
  Zhidong Cao (23)
  Daniel Dajun Zeng (23)
  
  23. The State Key Lab of Intelligent Control and Management of Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
  

文摘

Previous epidemiological researches have studied HFMD transmission pattern, but the study on the patients mobility pattern while seeking treatment is absent. In this paper, we present a statistical analysis of the spatialtemporal pattern of the Beijing HFMD patients mobility based on a complete works dataset containing over 40,000 cases in 2010. The main findings are as follows: (1) the patents incline to take their sick children to hospitals on weekdays, especially on Monday; (2) the patients living far from city center are more likely to get to hospitals in the afternoon, while the patients in the downtown in the morning; (3) patients (or their parents) either select the nearby hospitals, or the Class-A hospitals in the downtown. Furthermore, we employ a gravity model to describe the spatial mobility pattern of patients. The experiment results show a good fit.