Ex Ante Project Evaluation and the Complexity of Early Decision-Making

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• 作者：Knut Samset ; Tom Christensen
• 关键词：Ex ante evaluation ; Decision making ; Public investment projects
• 刊名：Public Organization Review
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：March 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：17
• 期：1
• 页码：1-17
• 全文大小：428KB
• 刊物类别：Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
• 刊物主题：Political Science; Public Finance; Management; Economic Policy; Public Administration;
• 出版者：Springer US
• ISSN：1573-7098
• 卷排序：17

文摘

This paper looks beyond more traditional evaluation activities to focus primarily on evaluation up front. It suggests that the early appraisal of an investment case or a project should apply essentially the same evaluation criteria that will be used in ex post evaluation, and thus increase the likelihood of a successful project outcome. However, the initial plan might be altered as result of subsequent analysis, assessment, negotiation, positioning, and the exercise of power. The last part of this paper presents an empirical study of 23 projects, which examines the complexity of processes that occur in the idea- and decision phases.