Impact of Spring Bird Migration on the Range Expansion of Ixodes scapularis Tick Population

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• 作者：Xiaotian Wu ; Gergely Röst ; Xingfu Zou
• 关键词：Bird migration ; Ixodes scapularis ; Range expansion ; Meta ; population model ; Lyme disease ; 34C25 ; 37N25 ; 92D40
• 刊名：Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：January 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：78
• 期：1
• 页码：138-168
• 全文大小：1,499 KB
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• 作者单位：Xiaotian Wu (1)
  Gergely Röst (2)
  Xingfu Zou (3)
  
  1. Department of Mathematics, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, 201306, China
  2. Bolyai Institute, University of Szeged, Szeged, H6720, Hungary
  3. Department of Applied Mathematics, Western University, London, ON, N6A 5B7, Canada
  
• 刊物类别：Mathematics and Statistics
• 刊物主题：Mathematics
  Mathematical Biology
  
• 出版者：Springer New York
• ISSN：1522-9602

文摘

Many observational studies suggest that seasonal migratory birds play an important role in spreading Ixodes scapularis, a vector of Lyme disease, along their migratory flyways, and they are believed to be responsible for geographic range expansion of I. scapularis in Canada. However, the interplay between the dynamics of I. scapularis on land and migratory birds in the air is not well understood. In this study, we develop a periodic delay meta-population model which takes into consideration the local landscape for tick reproduction within patches and the times needed for ticks to be transported by birds between patches. Assuming that the tick population is endemic in the source region, we find that bird migration may boost an already established tick population at the subsequent region and thus increase the risk to humans, or bird migration may help ticks to establish in a region where the local landscape is not appropriate for ticks to survive in the absence of bird migration, imposing risks to public health. This theoretical study reveals that bird migration plays an important role in the geographic range expansion of I. scapularis, and therefore our findings may suggest some strategies for Lyme disease prevention and control. Keywords Bird migration Ixodes scapularis Range expansion Meta-population model Lyme disease