Lake Watershed Pollution Control and Management with Uncertainty

详细信息    查看全文 | 下载全文 | 推荐本文 |

• 作者：Ye longhaoYu yajuanGuo huaicheng
• 会议时间：2009-11-01
• 关键词：Integrated management ; Lake watershed ; Model uncertainty ; Pollution control
• 作者单位：Ye longhao,Yu yajuan(School of Chemical Engineering & Environment, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, P. R. China, 100081)Guo huaicheng(College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, P. R. China, 100871)
• 母体文献：第十三届世界湖泊大会论文集
• 会议名称：第十三届世界湖泊大会
• 会议地点：武汉
• 主办单位：中国环境科学学会
• 语种：chi

摘要

The lake watershed management includes multiple aspects of uncertainties.In order to express and adapt the complicated characteristics in the lake watershed management,especially in its water pollution control,a framework including uncertainty analysis and optimization is constructed.In order to better understand different kinds of uncertainties,a series of primary expressions of multiple uncertainties are provided,the paper also analyzed the uncertainty sources in typical modeling process,including context and framing uncertainty,input uncertainty,model structure uncertainty,parameter uncertainty,model technical uncertainty and output uncertainty.Fifteen methods which are applicable for uncertainty analysis and assessment during the modeling process were then brought forward.Then the paper discussed the suitability of all methods on different steps of the modeling process as well as their applicability on uncertainty of different types and originating from different sources.At last,Lake Dianchi Watershed is used as a case to illustrate the particular process of pollution control and management with uncertainty.The framework of Lake Dianchi watershed pollution control and management with uncertainty was provided,which can help explain the process of integrated management.