摘要
基于2005-2015年中国与欧盟28国(EU28) 19个工业行业面板数据,对《京都议定书》执行期间不对称性减排是否导致中国对欧盟碳密集行业出口的比较优势增加进行实证检验,以验证欧盟对中国"碳泄露"作用机制的存在性。克服内生性后的实证结果表明:欧盟对中国的"碳泄露"作用机制仅存在于在高碳排放行业中,但整体出口工业行业与低碳排放行业并不存在显著的碳泄露作用机制;研究期内中国工业行业内部研发活动的增强有效促进行业出口比较优势的提升,但工业行业企业规模的增加对比较优势的作用并不明显,企业尚未形成规模经济,进口关税水平对工业行业出口比较优势的影响效应同样不显著;研究期内中国工业分行业资本劳动比逐年递增,但资本深化进程中的技术选择偏差导致资本劳动比对出口比较优势的影响并不显著。
Based on the panel data of 19 sectors in China and the EU from 2005 to 2015, this paper verified whether the asymmetric carbon abatement policy led to an increase in the comparative advantage of China 's carbonintensive industries to the EU during the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, and the existence of " carbon leakage" mechanism. The empirical results show that in the high-carbon industry,the carbon intensity is an important factor influencing its comparative advantage,and the "carbon leakage" mechanism of EU exists only in the high carbon emissions industry, not in the overall export industry or the low-carbon emissions industry; the industrial internal R & D activities promote their comparative advantage of exports, but the enterprise scale does not make the significant effect on the comparative advantage, and the effect of the import tariff on the comparative advantage is also not significant;the capital labor ratio of China's industry increases,but the effect of the capital labor ratio on the comparative advantage is not significant caused by the deviation of the technical selection during the capitalization process.
引文
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