摘要
大型换乘站具有客流量大、客流状况复杂的特点,需要进行有序组织,传统算法主要采用城市道路交通预测方法进行客流组织。忽略了突发情况下大型换乘站客流的盲目性和无序性,导致大型换乘站客流组织效果差,严重的影响大型换乘站的正常运营。提出一种新的大型换乘站客流组织优化技术,对人群正交实验结果进行分析与预测,在预测的基础上建立调度模型,选取符合要求的客流组织评价指标,通过对大型换乘站内乘客的常规活动进行仿真,运用灰色定权评价法对车站的实际客流运行情况进行判定,根据判定结果实时调整大型换乘站客流量,实现客流组织优化。仿真结果表明,优化方案可以对大型换乘站客流进行有效的组织。
Large transfer station has characteristic of heavy passenger volume and complex passenger flow situation.It needs to be organized orderly.Traditional algorithm mainly utilizes prediction method of urban roadway traffic to organize passenger flow.It ignores blindness and randomness of passenger flow in emergency and leads to poor effect of organization.The normal operation of large transfer station is influenced seriously.In this paper,we propose an optimization technique of passenger flow organization in large transfer station.Firstly,we analyze and predict the result of crowd orthogonal experiment.The scheduling model is built to choose satisfactory evaluation index of passenger flow organization based on prediction.Then we use the grey fixed weight evaluation method to judge actual passenger flow situation through simulation on routine action of passenger.Finally we adjust real-time passenger flow volume to achieve optimization of passenger flow organization according to the result.The simulation results show that the optimization scheme can organize passenger flow effectively.
引文
[1]王俊杰,党耀国,李雪梅,等.基于区间灰数的灰色定权聚类[J].中国管理科学,2015,23(10):139-146.
[2]张传平,高伟.基于熵权-灰色关联-TOPSIS方法的山东省低碳经济综合评价[J].科技管理研究,2014(17):426-426.
[3]李龙,赵金先,李帆.基于熵法与灰色理论的地铁工程项目管理绩效评价[J].青岛理工大学学报,2014,35(3):50-55.
[4]徐学礼.轨道交通换乘站的客运组织优化方案探讨[J].华东科技:学术版,2015(9):454-454.
[5]罗佳.城市轨道交通换乘客流问题分析[J].中国科技博览,2014(13):222-222.
[6]王悦欣,韩宝明.城市轨道交通换乘站换乘效率研究[J].山东科学,2014,27(6):86-90.
[7]邹宇晴.城市轨道交通换乘站客流实时预测与客运组织应用[J].中国科技投资,2014(A15):243-243.
[8]林世明,高志斌,高凤连,黄联芬.基于路测的TD-ITE网络优化分析[J],现代电子技术,2015,9:12-15.
[9]韩丽飞,代琦,孙小丽.基于Legion的地铁换乘站客流组织仿真研究——以武汉市轨道交通武昌火车站为例[J].交通与运输:学术版,2015(1):44-48.
[10]薛强,赵静.事业类生产力促进中心绩效评价实证研究——基于灰色定权及聚类分析方法[J].云南大学学报:社会科学版,2014(3):99-104.
