摘要
基于2006—2015年环境规制与工业空间结构的时空演变特征,运用动态面板的系统GMM估计方法定量分析环境规制对工业空间结构的影响,得出以下结论:(1)2006—2015年环境规制呈现出较为明显的东高西低的空间分布格局,其中,2012年之后高环境规制地区的环境规制强度呈快速上升趋势,而低环境规制地区的环境规制强度则呈先上升后下降趋势;(2)2006—2015年工业空间格局呈东部向中西部地区转移的演化规律,其中,高环境规制地区的工业空间结构呈扩散模式,低环境规制地区的工业空间结构呈集聚模式;(3)环境规制对工业空间结构的影响具有明显的区域效应,即全国范围内环境规制与工业空间结构呈倒U型关系,而高环境规制地区环境规制与工业空间结构呈负相关关系,低环境规制地区环境规制与工业空间结构呈正相关关系。经济发展水平和对外贸易政策对工业增加值比重具有正向影响,劳动力成本对工业增加值比重具有负向影响,城镇化对区域工业空间结构的影响具有不确定性。
The paper examines the effects of environmental regulation on industrial spatial structure by adopting GMM dynamic panel model. The research is based on the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of environmental regulation and industrial spatial structure from 2006 to 2015 in China. Through the analysis,the results show as follows:(1)The spatial disparity of environmental regulation can be found in year 2006—2015,reflecting in more intensive regulation in east China than that in the west. Especially,highly environmentalregulated area experienced an even intensified environmental regulation since 2012. While,the intensity of environmental regulation of its counterparty,namely the lowly environmental-regulated area,went up and down.(2)The industrial spatial structure from 2006 to 2015 demonstrated an east-to-middle and west movement trend generally. The industrial spatial structure was diffusive in highly environmentalregulated area,that of concentrate in lowly regulated area.(3)The Regional Effects can be detected in national industrial spatial structure in the impact of environmental regulation. More specifically,environmental regulation was under inverted U-shaped relationship with industrial spatial structure in China. Industrial spatial structure was negatively correlated with environmental regulation in highly environmentalregulated area. While it illustrated positive correlation in lowly environmental-regulated area. Economic development level and foreign trade policies had a positive effect on the proportion of industrial added value. The labour costs had a negative effect on the proportion of industrial added value. Uncertainty was found in the impact of urbanization on the regional industrial spatial structure.
引文
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