基于Weibull寿命模型对工业中可靠度指标进行Bayes估计
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  • 英文篇名:Bayesian and classical estimation of stress-strength reliability for Weibull lifetime models
  • 作者:李绍伟 ; 桂文豪
  • 英文作者:LI Shao-wei;GUI Wen-hao;Department of Mathematics, Beijing Jiaotong University;
  • 关键词:极大似然估计 ; 近似极大似然估计 ; Bayes估计 ; Monte ; Carlo模拟 ; Metropolis-Hasting ; Metropolis ; Sampling抽样
  • 英文关键词:maximum likelihood estimator;;approximate maximum likelihood estimator;;boostrap method;;Bayesian estimator;;Monte Carlo simulation;;Metropolis-Hasting method;;adaptive rejection metropolis sampling
  • 中文刊名:GXYZ
  • 英文刊名:Applied Mathematics A Journal of Chinese Universities(Ser.A)
  • 机构:北京交通大学理学院数学系;
  • 出版日期:2018-12-15
  • 出版单位:高校应用数学学报A辑
  • 年:2018
  • 期:v.33
  • 语种:中文;
  • 页:GXYZ201804003
  • 页数:17
  • CN:04
  • ISSN:33-1110/O
  • 分类号:23-39
摘要
主要研究了工业中可靠性指标R=P(Y Metropolis-Hastings和Adaptive Rejection Metropolis Sampling.最后,通过数值模拟和实际数据的分析来对比不同参数估计方法的性能.
        In this paper,the problem of estimating the reliability performance R=P(Ym variables from Weibull distribution with the same scale parameters but different shape parameters.The maximum likelihood estimator and the approximate maximum likelihood estimator of R is obtained.Then the correspondent asymptotic distribution is derived and it is used to construct asymptotic confidence interval.The non-parametric bootstrap confidence intervals is also considered in this article.The Bayesian estimation based on different Gibbs techniques:Metropolis-Hastings and Adaptive Rejection Metropolis Sampling is also proposed.Finally,simulation study and real data analysis are presented to illustrate the performance of different estimation methods.
引文
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