弹性供应网络系统的防御策略和应急方法研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
随着科学技术的发展和经济的全球化,社会分工日益精细,供应网络上的企业越来越多,且地域分布更加宽泛。供应网络变成了一个由全球分布的供应商、制造商、分销商、批发商和零售商组成的复杂网络系统。众多的网络参与者和它们之间的相互依赖关系使得网络更加复杂,而且运营环境也更加不确定。
     供应网络在失效事件面前往往表现的十分脆弱,任何节点和连接上发生的失效会很快影响到网络上的其它企业,对整个供应网络的正常运营产生严重的影响,这样的例子在近几年时有发生。因此,在设计和运营策略上考虑失效事件的存在,使供应网络具备在失效事件发生后,能快速恢复到正常运作状态的能力无疑具有重要的价值和意义。
     本文定量和定性地对供应网络弹性进行研究,提出了供应网络弹性研究的理论框架,重点建立了基于弹性的供应网络战略设计模型并进行了分析。全文分为四个部分,主要研究内容与结论如下:
     (1)节点重要性评价研究。本文针对供应网络不同区域节点重要性不同的问题,提出了供应网络中重要性节点的界定规则,考虑了网络的级联效应,建立了系统化的评价节点重要性的方法。通过该方法的测试,识别出了算例网络的关键节点,进而计算出最大连通子图规模,衡量了该节点失效对整个供应链造成的破坏性,最后,本文并给出了具体的实例来说明该方法的工作过程。
     (2)弹性供应链应急计划研究。本文针对供应网络单一节点失效后的应急调度问题,以制造商、供应商、分销商、零售商组成的供应网络为背景,建立了在有限资源约束下单目标成本优化数学模型,得出了节点失效后的应急调度方案。该模型使用CPLEX软件进行求解,数值仿真结果表明,该方案虽然暂时性的增加了网络的总成本,但弥补了节点失效带来的损失,满足了用户的需求,维持了供应链的正常运行。
     (3)弹性应急物流配送计划研究。本文针对供应网络单一节点失效后的应急调度问题,以制造商、供应商、分销商、零售商组成的供应网络为背景,建立了在有限资源约束下单目标成本优化数学模型,提出了节点失效后剩余节点的紧急扩容方案。该模型使用CPLEX软件进行求解,通过与网络正常运行时的比较,得到按比例满足用户需求时各节点的扩容量,扩容比例。
     (4)易腐品弹性物流配送计划研究。本文针对易腐品供应链的应急物流配送问题,以供应商、分销商、零售商组成的供应网络为背景,建立了在有限资源约束下的单目标多时段成本优化数学模型,得出了易腐品供应链节点失效之后的应急物流配送方案。该模型使用CPLEX软件进行求解,通过与网络正常运行时的比较,得到了各时段各节点的库存量和扩容的详细方案。
With the rapid growth of technology and global economy,social division becomes more elaborate and supply network comprises more companies.Today's Supply networks span the globe and involve many suppliers, contract manufactures, distributors, logistics providers, wholesalers and retailers.This web of participating players creates more complexities,making it difficult to realize where vulnerabilities may lie.It also enhances the uncertainties of operation circumstance.
     Supply networks are often vulnerable to various failures.The failure which occurs at any node or link of supply network affects rapidly all companies in the web,and then,influences the normal operations of the whole network.Therefore,it has important value and significance to research on how to make supply network possess the ability of rapid recovery from failure to normal operations.
     We bring forward conceptual skeleton of supply network resilience quantitatively,and then set up and analyze supply network strategic design models based on resilience qualitatively.There are four parts in the paper.The central contents and main outcomes are as follows:
     (1) Research on node importance evaluation. This paper focus on cascading failure of food supply chain network. Firstly, a node importance evaluation method is employed to analyze cascading failure characteristics. Then, the critical nodes which may cause cascading failure in the whole network are identified. Finally, damage degree of cascading failure measured by largest connected component is tested using the largest workload tolerance parameter.
     (2) Research on resilient supply chain emergency plan. This paper addresses the emergency dispatch problem in the background of supply network with mult-suppliers and mult-producers and develops under constraints of limited resources an optimal model to minimize the total cost. Subsequently, this paper gets the emergency dispatch planning solution with CPLEX. Simulation results indicate this solution can satisfy need of customers and maintain normal operation of supply network.
     (3) Research on resilient logistics distribution plan.This paper addresses the logistic distributor problem based on emergency supply chain. We enlarge the capacity of supply chain according to the failure of node, and develop under constraints of limited resources an optimal model to minimize the total cost. Subsequently, this paper gets the enlarging capacity solution and proportion with CPLEX.
     (4) Research on resilient logistics distribution plan of perishable products. Enlarging capacity and dynaimic inventory strategies are used in perishable products supply chain. This paper addresses logistics distribution plan problem based on resilient supply chain of perishable products and develops under constraints of limited resources an optimal model to minimize the total cost when the network operates well or one of the nodes fails. Subsequently, this paper gets the logistics distribution plan, dynamic inventoty and enlarging node capacity strategy solution with CPLEX.
引文
[1]Ponomarov, S.Y., Holcomb, M.C. Understanding the concept of supply chain resilience[J], International Journal of Logistics Management,2009,20(l):124-143.
    [2]Bhattacharya, A., Geraghty, J.; Young, P. On the analytical framework of resilient supply-chain network assessing excursion events[C], Third Asia International Conference on Modeling & Simulation,2009,392-397.
    [3]Mitra, Kishalay, Gudi, Ravindra. Midterm supply chain planning under uncertainty: A multi-objective chance constrained programming framework [J], Industrial and Engineering Chemistry Research,2008,47(15):5501-5511.
    [4]Mitra, Kishalay, Multi-criteria optimal control of polypropylene terepthalate polymerization reactor[J], Materials and Manufacturing Processes,2007,22(5):532-540.
    [5]Kong, Xiang-Yu. Creating the resilient supply chain:The role of knowledge management resources[C], International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing,2008,399-414.
    [6]Kishalay Mitra, Ravindra D. Towards resilient supply chains: Uncertainty analysis using fuzzy mathematical programming[J], Chemical Engineering Research and Design,2009,87(7): 967-981.
    [7]Emmanuel D. Adamides. The co-evolution of product, production and supply chain decisions, and the emergence of manufacturing strategy[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2009,121 (2):301-312.
    [8]David Sammon. Frederic Adam Project preparedness and the emergence of implementation problems in ERP projects [J], Information & Management,2009,56(7):654-666.
    [9]Alan MacPherson. The emergence of a new international competitor in the commercial aircraft sector:The China syndrome [J], Futures,2009,41(7):482-489.
    [10]Sof Thrane, Kim Sundtoft Hald. The emergence of boundaries and accounting in supply fields:The dynamics of integration and fragmentation[J], Management Accounting Research, 2006,17(3):288-314.
    [11]Alan Gardner. Decorative trivalent chromium plating: Emergence of alternative technology poses both direct and indirect repercussions across the supply chain[J], Metal Finishing,2006,104(11):41-45.
    [12]Thomas Y. Choi, Kevin J. Dooley. Supply networks and complex adaptive systems:control versus emergence[J], Journal of Operations Management,2001,19(3):351-366.
    [13]Venkat Venkatasubramanian, Santhoji Katare. Spontaneous emergence of complex optimal networks through evolutionary adaptation[J], Computers & Chemical Engineering,2004, 28(9):1789-1798.
    [14]Selda Taskin, Emmett J. Lodree Jr. Inventory decisions for emergency supplies based on hurricane count predictions[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2009,13(5): 561-573.
    [15]Richard Oloruntoba. A documentary analysis of the Cyclone Larry emergency relief chain: Some key success factors[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2009, 7(6):397-411.
    [16]Hallikas.J,Virolainen.V.M., Tuominen, M.Risks. analysis and assessment in network environments:a dyadic case study [J],International Journal of Production Economics,2002, 78(1):45-55.
    [17]倪燕翎,李海婴.供应链风险管理与企业风险管理之比较[J],物流技术,2004,10:40-42.
    [18]胡金环,周启蕾.供应链风险管理探究[J],价值工程,2005,3(9):36-39.
    [19]周艳菊,邱莞华,王宗润.供应链风险管理研究进展的综述与分析[J],系统工程,2006,24(3):1-7.
    [20]宁钟.供应链脆弱性的影响因素及其管理原则[J],中国流通经济.2004,4(5):13-16.
    [21]杨俊.供应链风险管理理论与方法研究[D],武汉理工大学.2005.
    [22]Christopher S.Tang.Robust strategies for mitigating supply chain disruptions[J], Decision Operations and Technology Management,2005,3(11):3-45.
    [23]桑圣举,王炬香,杨阳.供应链风险管理的研究与发展[J],工业技术经济,2006,125(19):116-120.
    [24]Harland C,Brencheley H,Walker H. Risk in supply network. [J],Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management,2003,9(2):51-62.
    [25]Handfield R B,Bechtel C.The role of trust and relationship structure in improving supply chain responsiveness[J],Industrial Marketing Management,2002,31(34):367-382.
    [26]朱倩.从风险角度看供应链企业合作伙伴关系[J],.江苏企业管理,2002,10(6):45-46.
    [27]王丽杰,刘奉林.供应链中合作伙伴关系的益处和风险[J],企业研究,2006,2(12):39-40.
    [28]章海峰.供应链企业战略合作风险因素分析[J],武汉冶金管理干部学院学报,2004, 14(4):18-21.
    [29]罗斌.基于风险角度的供应链联盟分析[J],价值工程,2005,4(10):50-51.
    [30]解鲲,刘凯,周双贵.供应链战略联盟的风险问题研究中国安全科学学报,2003.13(11):26-29.
    [31]Choi T Y,Krause D R.The supply base and its complexity:Implications for transaction costs, risk,responsiveness and innovation[J],Journal of Operation Management,2005,142(6):498-510.
    [32]李建忠,邓定宾.基于供应链环境下企业与供应商的合作关系分析[J],交通运输工程与信息学报,2005,3(2):106-110.
    [33]刘建峰,钟胜.供应链中的信息风险管理研究[J],特区经济,2004,10(4):159-160.
    [34]常志平,蒋馥.供应链中信息共享的范围[J],工业工程与管-,2002,7(5):47-49.
    [35]X.Zhang.The impact of forecasting methods on the bullwhip effect[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2004,88 (9):15-27.
    [36]杨红芬,吕安洪,李琪.供应链管理中的信息风险及对策分析[J],商业经济与管理,2002,2(7):32-35.
    [37]Gavirneni S,Kapuscinski R,Tayur S.Value of information in capacitated supply chains[J], Management Science,2004,45(1):16-24.
    [38]C.E. Siemieniuch, M.A. Sinclair. Using corporate governance to enhance long-term situation awareness and assist in the avoidance of organisation-induced disasters[J],2008,39(2): 229-240.
    [39]楚扬杰,王先甲,吴秀君,方德斌.供应链信息共享的道德风险研究[J],武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版),2006,28(2):86-89.
    [40]但蕾,冯允成,姚李刚.供应链销售渠道中的道德风险问题[J],科技进步与对策,2004,10(2):28-130.
    [41]何宾,贾怀京.有效市场竞争对供应链中道德风险的制约[J],安徽师范大学学报(人文社会科学版),2004,32(3):282-285.
    [42]李善良,朱道立.逆向信息和道德信息下的供应链线性激励契约研究[J],.运筹学学报,2005,9(2):21-29.
    [43]马丽娟.供应链企业间的委托代理问题及道德风险的防范[J],商业研究,2003,9(10):103-105.
    [44]张爱,袁治平,张清辉.供应链企业委托代理问题的研究[J],工业工程与管理,2003,3(4):52-55.
    [45]杨治宇,马士华.供应链企业间的委托代理问题研究[J],计算机集成制造系统,2001,132(4): 19-22
    [46]张翠华,黄小原.供应链中的道德风险问题[J],东北大学学报(自然科学版),2003,24(7):703-706.
    [47]Brent W. Ritchie. Chaos, crises and disasters:a strategic approach to crisis management in the tourism industry[J],2004,25(6):669-683.
    [48]杨德礼,郭琼,何勇,徐经意.供应链契约研究进展[J],管理学报,2006,3(1):117-125.
    [49]Emmos H, GilbeR S M. The role of returns policies in pricing and inventory decisions for catalogue goods[J],Management Science,1998,44(2):276-283.
    [50]Tsay A.A.Risk sensitivity in distribution channel partnerships implications for manufacture return policies[J],Journal of Retailing,2002,78 (5):147-160.
    [51]Padmanabhan V, Png.I P L.Manufacture's returns policy and retail competition[J],Marketing Science,1997,16(1):81-94.
    [52]Chen Y J,Seshadri S.Supply chain structure and demand risk[J], Aotomatica,.2005,45(1): 975-990.
    [53]Nagurney A,Cruz J,Dong J,Zhang D.Supplychain networks,electronic commerce,and supply side and demand side risk[J],European Journal of Operational Research,2007,164 (7):120-142.
    [54]Corbett C J,Decroix GA,Ha A Y.Optimal shared-savings contracts in supply chain:Linear contracts and double moral hazard[J], European Journal of Operational Research 2007,163 (5): 653-667.
    [55]C.Scheeweiss,Zimmer K.Hierarchical coordination mechanisms with the supply chain[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2004,153 (9):687-703.
    [56]王燕,杨文瀚.供应商的违约风险对供应链的影响[J],统计与决策,2007,2(9):17-18.
    [57]Chauhan S S,Proth J.M.Analysis of a supply chain partnership with revenue sharing[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2005,97 (4):44-51.
    [58]叶飞,李怡娜,胡晓灵.不确定需求下供应链技术创新的共享收益契约研究[J],科技管理研究,2005,5(3):81-83.
    [59]Giannoccaro I,Pontrandolfo P.Supply chain coordination by revenue sharing contracts[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2004,89 (7):131-139.
    [60]Lee C.C.,Chu W.H.J.Who should control inventory in a supply chain[J],Europe Journal of Operational Research,2005,164(9):158-172.
    [61]Sheffi,Y.Supply chain management under the threat of international terrorism[J],International Journal of Logistics Management,2001,12(2):1-11.
    [62]Chan F T S,Kumar N.Global supplier development considering risk factors using fuzzy extended AHP-based approach[J],The International Journal of Management Science, 2005,134(2):159-170.
    [63]John D. Kinsel, Michael Thomasgard. In Their Own Words: The 9/11 Disaster Child Care Providers[J], International Journal of Logistics Management,2008,26(1):44-57.
    [64]Kraljic P.Purchasing must become supply management[J],Harvard Business Review,1983, 54(9):109-117.
    [65]张炳轩,李龙洙,都忠诚.供应链的风险及分配模型[J],数量经济技术经济研究,2000,9(3):92-95.
    [66]Cranfield.School of Management.Creating Resilient Supply Chains:A Practical Guide.www. cranfield.ac.uk/som/scr.2002.
    [67]Zsidisin,G.A.Managerial perceptions of risk[J],Journal of Supply Chain Management,2003, 39(1):14-25.
    [68]马士华.如何防范供应链风险[J],中国计算机用户,2003,54(1):21-30.
    [69]Sunil.C, ManMohan S.S. Managing risk to avoid supply chain breakdown [J],MIT Sloan Management Review,2004,32(10):53-61.
    [70]Protiviti.Supply chain risk consulting[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2004, 168(7):396-410.
    [71]Deloitte.Supply chain risk management[J], MIT Sloan Management Review,2004,62(3): 415-425.
    [72]Hallikas,J.,Virolainen,V.M.,Tuominen.M. Risks analysis and assessment in network environments:a dyadic case study[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2002, 78(1):45-55.
    [73]Hallikas.J.,Karvonen.I.,Pulkkinen.U.,Virolainen,V.M. Risks management processes in supplier networks[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2004,90(1):47-58.
    [74]Prater.E.,Biehl.M.,Smith.M.A.International supply chain agility-Tradeoffs between flexibility and uncertainty[J],International Journal of Operations&Production Management,2001,54(10): 85-94.
    [75]B.G. Jones, S.E. Chang. Economic aspects of urban vulnerability and disaster mitigation [J], Urban Disaster Mitigation:The Role of Engineering and Technology,1995,78(6):311-320.
    [76]丁伟,刘凯,贺国先.供应链风险研究[J],中国安全科学学报.2003,13(4):64-66.
    [77]White S,Smyth P. Algorithms for estimating relative importance in networks[C]. Proceedings of the Ninth ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining,2003,266-275.
    [78]Watts DJ, Strogatz S H. Collective dynamics of small world networks[J].Nature,1998,393 (2): 440-442.
    [79]Barabasi A L, Albert R. Emergence of scaling in random networks[J], Science,1999,286 (5): 509-512.
    [80]West D B. Introduction to Graph Theory [M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2001: 507-510.
    [81]Wasserman S, Faust K. Social network analysis:methods and applications [M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,1994,232-243.
    [82]Shetty J,Adibi J. Discovering Important Nodes Through Graph Entropy:The Case of Biology Database[J], Proc of Link Piscovery Workshop,2005,15(6):336-341.
    [83]Poulin R, Boily M-C Masse B R. Dynamical systems to define centrality in social networks [J]. Social Networks,2000,22(9):187-220
    [84]DarrenM.Scott,DavidC.Novak,LisaAultman-Hall,FengGuo. Network Robustness Index: A new method for identifying critical links and evaluating the performance of transportation networks[J],Journal of Transport Geography,2006 (28):539-720.
    [85]Shetty J, Adibi J. Discovering Important Nodes Through Graph Entropy:The Case of Biology Database[J],Proc of Link Piscovery Workshop,2005,15(4):336-341.
    [86]Pearson H, Hu A Q,HuJ. A methodfor finding the most vital node in communication networks[J], High Technology Letters,2004 15(1):573-576.
    [87]赫南,李德毅.复杂网络中重要性节点发掘综述[J],计算机科学,2007,34(5):11-17.
    [88]Knoke D, Burt R S. Applied network analysis [M], Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,1983,57-62.
    [89]Benyah Shaparenko,Rich Caruana. Identifying Temporal Patternsand Key Playersin Document Collections[J], Department of Computer Science,2005,75 (6):838-848.
    [90]Proulin R, Boily M-C, Masse B R.Dynamical systems to define centrality in social networks[J],Social Networks,2000,22 (7):187-220.
    [91]Vincenza Carchiolo, MicheleMalgeri. Emerging structures of P2P networks induced by social relationships [J], Computer Communications,2008,31(9):620-628.
    [92]StephenP.Borgatti, Identifying sets of key players in a social network[J], Comput Math Organiz Theory,2006,7(12),21-34.
    [93]Freeman L.A set of measures of centrality based upon betweenness [J], Sociometry,1977,40 (6):35-41
    [94]H.Zhao,Z.Y.Gao. Organizations of rich nodes in complex networks [J], Physica A,2007,381 (7):473-481.
    [95]LiangGao,JinshanZhao.A symmetry between odd and even node weight in complex networks [J]. Physica A,2007,376 (9):687-691.
    [96]Korner J.Bounds and Information Theory[J], SIAM Journal on Algorithms and Discrete Mathematics,1986,14(7):560-570.
    [97]李玉华,易鑫.基于图熵的链接发现算法在反洗钱领域的应用[J],计算机工程与科学,2007,29(5):50-54.
    [98]H. W.CORLEY, David Y. SHA. Most vital links and nodes in weighted networks [J], Department of Industrial Engineering,1982,89(3):157-161.
    [99]陈勇,胡爱群.通信网中节点重要性评价方法[J],通信学报,2004,25(8):129-134.
    [100]Hee K.Cho,ChaeY.Lee.Multicast tree rearrangement to recover node failures in overlay multicast networks[J]. Computers & operations Research,2006,33 (9):581-594.
    [101]景国勋,贾智伟.最小割集在系统安全分析方法中的应用[J],中国安全科学学报,2004,14(1):99-102.
    [102]余新,李艳和.基于网络性能变化梯度的通信网络节点重要程度评价方法[J],清华大学学报,2008,48(7):541-544.
    [103]M. E. J. Newman. Who is the best connected scientist?A study of scientific coauthorship networks[J], Journal of Mathematical Sociology,2004,40 (8):679-691.
    [104]谭跃进,吴俊.复杂网络中节点重要度评估的节点收缩方法[J],系统工程理论与实践,2006,11(9):365-370.
    [105]李鹏翔,任玉晴.网络节点(集)重要性的一种度量指标[J],系统工程,2004,22(8):13-21.
    [106]安世虎, 都艺兵.节点集重要性测度-综合法及其在知识共享网络中的应用[J],中国管理科学,2006,14(3):106-112.
    [107]ScottWhite,Padhraic Smyth. Algorithms for Estimating Relative Importance in Networks [J], Information and Computer Science,2003,45 (8):697-710.
    [108]Clausen,J.J.Hansen,J.Larsen and A.Larsen.Disruption management[J],OR/MS Today,2001, 28(5):40-43
    [109]于刚,陈剑,于辉.协调供应链如何应对突发事件[J],系统工程理论与实践,2005,7(11):9-16.
    [110]许明辉.供应链中的应急管理[D],武汉大学博士学位论文,2005.
    [111]Yu,Gang.Robust economic order quantity models[J],European Journal of Operational Research,2004,100(9):482-493.
    [112]Wei Yi, Arun Kumar. Ant colony optimization for disaster relief operations[J], Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):660-672.
    [113]Qi Xiangtong,Bard J.F.,Yu G.Disruption management for machine scheduling:The case of SPT Schedules[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2006,103(10):166-184.
    [114]Yu,Gang and Jian Yang.On the robust shortest path problem[J],Computers and Operations Research,2007,25(6):457-468.
    [115]Alison Ashlin, Richard J. Ladle. Natural disasters and newspapers:Post-tsunami environmental discourse[J], Environmental Hazards,2007,7(4):330-641.
    [116]Larson,Richard C.Approximating the performance of urban emergency service systems[J], Operations Research,2008,23(5):845-868.
    [117]Peter Trkman, Kevin McCormack. Supply chain risk in turbulent environments—A conceptual model for managing supply chain network risk[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2009,119(2):247-258.
    [118]Qi X T,Bard J,Yu G.Supply chain coordination with demand disruptions[J], Omega, 2004,32(4):301-312.
    [119]Christopher Tang, Brian Tomlin. The power of flexibility for mitigating supply chain risks[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2008,116(1):12-27.
    [120]Tobias Schoenherr,V.M. Rao.Tummala. Assessing supply chain risks with the analytic hierarchy process:Providing decision support for the offshoring decision by a US manufacturing company[J], Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management,2008, 14(2):100-111.
    [121]Dina Neiger, Kristian Rotaru, Leonid Churilov. Supply chain risk identification with value-focused process engineering[J], Journal of Operations Management,2009,27(2): 154-168.
    [122]Christopher S. Tang. Perspectives in supply chain risk management[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2006,103(2):451-488.
    [123]Mallik S.,Harker P.T..Coordinating supply chains with competition:Capacity allocation in Semi-conductor manufacturing.European Journal of Operation Research,2004,159 (9):330-347.
    [124]Wu M.C.,Chang W.J. A short-term capacity trading method for semiconductor fabs with partnership.Expert System with Applications.Available at www.sciencedirect.com.2006.
    [125]Qi X T,Bard J,Yu G.Supply chain coordination with demand disruptions, Omega,2004,32(4): 301-312.
    [126]于辉,陈剑,于刚.协调供应链如何应对突发事件[J],系统工程理论与实践,2005,7(10):9-16.
    [127]Bretthauer Kurt M.,Cote Murray J.Nonlinear Programming for multiperiod capacity planning in a manufacturing system[J],European Journal of Operational Research,1996,96(1):167-179.
    [128]Schmidt G.Scheduling with limited machine availability[J],European Journal of Operation Research,2000,121(1):1-14.
    [129]Qi Xiangtong,Bard J.F.,Yu G..Disruption management for machine scheduling:The case of SPT Schedules[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2006,103(9):166-184.
    [130]Xia Y.S.,Yang M.H.,Golany B.,Gilbert S.M.,and Yu G..Real-time disruption management in a two-stage production and inventory system[J],IIE Transactions,2004,3(6):111-125.
    [131]Mohebbi,E..A production-inventory model with randomly changing environmental conditions[J],European Journal of Operational Research,2006,174(3):539-552.
    [132]Desheng Wu, David L. Olson. Supply chain risk, simulation, and vendor selection[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2008,114(2):646-655.
    [133]Stojkovic G.et al.An Optimization model for a real-time flight scheduling problem[J],Transportation Research Part A:Polcy and Practice,2002,36(9):779-788.
    [134]Mark Goh, Joseph Y.S. Lim, Fanwen Meng. A stochastic model for risk management in global supply chain networks[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2007,182(1): 164-173.
    [135]S.Y Sohn,I.S Choi.Fuzzy QFD for supply chain management with reliability consideration[J],.Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2001,72(6):327-334.
    [136]Dave Luton.Inventory Accuracy:An overlooked component of supply chain reliability[J], Materials Management and Distribution,2004,49(7):71-80.
    [137]霍佳震,隋明刚,刘仲英.集成化供应链整体绩效评价体系构建[J],.同济大学学报(自然科学版),2002,30(4):495-499.
    [138]穆东,杜志平.供应链固有可靠性和运作可靠性研究[J],物流技术,2004,12(8):37-39.
    [139]Haisheng Yu, Amy Z. Zeng, Lindu Zhao. Single or dual sourcing: decision-making in the presence of supply chain disruption risks[J], Omega,2009,37(4):788-800.
    [140]Michael J. Braunscheidel, Nallan C. Suresh. The organizational antecedents of a firm's supply chain agility for risk mitigation and response[J], Journal of Operations Management, 2009,27(2):119-140.
    [141]陈国华,王永建,韩桂武.基于可靠性的供应链构建[J],工业工程与管理,2004,76(1):72-74.
    [142]张喜征.企业供应链危机与经营风险[J],技术经济,2002,15(8):42-43.
    [143]韩明星,凌鸿.面向供应链管理的业务流程重组[J],物流技术,2003,9(6):4-7.
    [144]刘元洪,罗明,刘仲英.供应链的可靠性管理[J],.现代管理科学,2005,5(12):15-16.
    [145]Xiaohui Wu, Xiaobing Zhong. Study on risk analysis of supply chain enterprises[J], Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics,2006,17(4):781-787.
    [146]Cranfield School of Management.Creating Resilient Supply Chains:A Practical Guide. www.cranfield.ac.uk/som/scr.2002.
    [147]Svensson,G.A conceptual framework for the analysis of vulnerability in supply chains[J], International Journal of Physical Distribution&Logistics Management,2000,30(9):731-749.
    [148]Tiaojun Xiao, Danqin Yang. Risk sharing and information revelation mechanism of a one-manufacturer and one-retailer supply chain facing an integrated competitor[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2009,196(3):1076-1085.
    [149]Christopher,M.Creating resilient supply chains.www.exel.com/advantage.Issue 11.2000.
    [150]Thomas Kull, David Closs. The risk of second-tier supplier failures in serial supply chains: Implications for order policies and distributor autonomy[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2008,186(3):1158-1174.
    [151]Harland C,Brencheley H,Walker H.Risk in supply network[J],Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management,2003,9(2):51-62.
    [152]Tiaojun Xiao, Danqin Yang. Price and service competition of supply chains with risk-averse retailers under demand uncertainty[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2008, 114(1):187-200.
    [153]Svensson,Goran.Dyadic Vulnerability in Companies'Inbound and Outbound Logistics Flows[J],International Journal of Logistics and Research Applications,2004,5(1):13-44.
    [154]宁钟.供应链脆弱性的影响因素及其管理原则[J],中国流通经济,2004,4(5):13-16.
    [155]Rice,J.B.and Caniato,F. Building a secure and resilient supply network[J],Supply Chain Management Review,2003,14(5),987-995.
    [156]Santa-Fe Institute. Working Definitions of Robustness.Internal report.2001-2009.Available at: http://discuss.santafe.edu/robustness/stories/storyReader.
    [157]Anna Nagurney, Jose Cruz. Supply chain networks, electronic commerce, and supply side and demand side risk[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2005,164(1):120-142.
    [158]Landeghem, Richard C.approximating the performance of urban emergency service systems[J],Operations Research,2005,23(5):845-868.
    [159]David Bogataj, Marija Bogataj. Measuring the supply chain risk and vulnerability in frequency space[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2007,108(2):291-301.
    [160]Ying-Ju Chen,Sridhar Seshadri.Supply chain structure and demand risk[J], Automatica,2006, 42(8):1291-1299.
    [161]A1-Aomar.Supply chain reliability[J],Chain Store Age,2002,80(7):61-65.
    [162]Tsai A.A.Risk sensitivity in distribution channel partnerships implications for manufacture return policies[J],Journal of Retailing,2002,78 (8):147-160.
    [163]Charles S. Tapiero. Consumers risk and quality control in a collaborative supply chain[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2007,182(2):683-694.
    [164]Kleijnen,Gayry.Purchasing must become supply management[J],Harvard Business Review. 2003,13(4):109-117.
    [165]A. Azaron, K.N. Brown, S.A. Tarim, M. Modarres. A multi-objective stochastic programming approach for supply chain design considering risk[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2008,116(1):129-138.
    [166]Bundschuh M.,Klabjan D.and Thurston D.L..Modeling robust and reliable supply chains.Working paper.University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.2007.
    [167]Alex J.Ruiz-Torres,Farzad Mahmoodi.The optimal number of suppliers considering the costs of individual supplier failures[J],Omega,2007,35(9):104-115.
    [168]Snyder L.V.,Shen Z-J Max.Managing Disruption to Supply Chains[J], Annual Reviews in Control,2006,29(12):256-273.
    [169]Braun M.W.,et al.model predictive control framework for robust management of multi-product, multi-echelon demand networks[J],Annual Reviews in Control,2003,27(9): 229-245.
    [170]徐家旺,黄小原.市场供求不确定供应链的多目标鲁棒运作模型[J],系统工程理论与实践,2006,26(6):35-40.
    [171]徐礼富,郭海峰,徐家旺.产品价格不确定供应链的多目标鲁棒运作模型[J],兵工自动化,2006,6(8):34-36.
    [172]Reggiani,A,deGraaff,T.and Nijkamp,P.Resilience:An evolutionary approach to spatial economic systems[J],Networks and Spatial Economics,2002,2(2),255-274.
    [173]Pimm,S.L.The complexity and stability of Ecosystems[J],Nature,1984,3(7):321-326.
    [174]Holling,Charles.Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems[J],Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics,1992,4(7):1-23.
    [175]Jose M. Cruz, Tina Wakolbinger. Multiperiod effects of corporate social responsibility on supply chain networks, transaction costs, emissions, and risk[J],International Journal of Production Economics,2008,116(1):61-74.
    [176]Yuanjie He, Jiang Zhang. Random yield risk sharing in a two-level supply chain[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2008,116(2):769-781.
    [177]Chih-Yang Tsai. On supply chain cash flow risks[J], Decision Support Systems,2008, 44(4):1031-1042.
    [178]Anderson,S. Business+IT=Resilience[J], Contingency. Planning&Management,2003,78(5): 236-245.
    [179]H.M. Wee. Economic production lot size model for deteriorating items with partial back-ordering [J], Computers and Industrial Engineering,1993(3):449-458.
    [180]Nahmias S. Perishable inventory theory:a review [J], Operations Research,1982,30(4): 680-708.
    [181]Van Z. G. Inventory control for perishable commodities [D], Ph. D. Dissertation, University of North Carolina, Chaple Hill, NC,1964.
    [182]Nahmias S. Optimal ordering policies for perishable inventory-Ⅱ [J], Operations Research, 1975,23(4):735-749.
    [183]Fries B. E. Optimal ordering policy for a perishable commodity with fixed lifetime [J], Operations Research,1975,23(1):46-61.
    [184]Nahmias S., Wang S. S. A heuristic lot size reorder point model for decaying inventories [J], Management Science,1979,25(1):90-97.
    [185]Dave U., Pandya B. Inventory returns and special sales in a lot-size system with constant rate of deterioration [J], European Journal of Operational Research,1985,19(7):46-61.
    [185]Shiue Y. C. An inventory model for perishable items in a lot-size system with quantity discounts [J], European Journal of Operational Research,1990,45(6):260-264.
    [187]张敏.易腐物品物流网络服务设施选址问题研究[D],湖北:华中科技大学,2006.
    [188]罗子明.顾客时间满意度[J],商业研究,2002,54(11):7-29.
    [189]Allen, S.J., Schuster, E.W.. Controlling the risk for an agricultural harvest [J], Manufacturing & Service Operations Management,2004,6 (3),225-236.
    [190]Berge ten, H.F.M., van Ittersum, M.K., Rossing, W.A.H., van de Ven, G.W.J., Schans, J., van de Sanden. Farming options for the Netherlands explored by multi-objective modeling [J], European Journal of Agronomy,2003,13(9),263-277.
    [191]Caixeta-Filho, J.V., van Swaay-Neto, J.M., Wagemaker, A.P.. Optimization of the production planning and trade of lily flowers at Jan de Wit Company [J], Interfaces,2002,32 (1),35-46.
    [192]Saedt, A.P.H., Hendriks, T.H.B., Smits, F.M.. A transition planning method applied in a decision support system for pot-plant nurseries [J], European Journal of Operations Research,1991,52(11),142-154.
    [193]Miller, W.A., Leung, L.C., Azhar, T.M., Sargent, S.. Production planning for fresh tomato packing [J], International Journal of Production Economics,1997,53(8),227-238.
    [194]Annevelink, E. Operational planning in horticulture:Optimal space allocation in pot-plant nurseries using heuristic techniques [J], Journal of Agricultural Engineering Research,1992, 51(8),167-177.
    [195]Rantala, J. Optimizing the supply chain strategy of a multi-unitfinish nursery [J], Silva Fennica,2004,38 (2),203-215.
    [196]Luis Otavio Aleotti Maia, Regina Araujo Lago, Raad Yahya Qassim. Selection of postharvest technology routes by mixed-integer linear programming [J], International Journal of Production Economics,1997,49(5):85-90.
    [197]Carmen G. Rawls, Mark A. Turnquist. Pre-positioning of emergency supplies for disaster response[J], Transportation Research Part B:Methodological,2009,5(3):153-164.
    [198]Sven Axsater. A heuristic for triggering emergency orders in an inventory system[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2007,176(2):880-891.
    [199]Jiuh-Biing Sheu. An emergency logistics distribution approach for quick response to urgent relief demand in disasters[J], Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):687-709.
    [200]Jiuh-Biing Sheu. Dynamic relief-demand management for emergency logistics operations under large-scale disasters[J], Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2010,46(1):1-17.
    [201]Mei-Shiang Chang, Ya-Ling Tseng. A scenario planning approach for the flood emergency logistics preparation problem under uncertainty[J], Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):737-754.
    [202]Slack,Jia-zhen HUO, Hu LI. Batch Ordering Policy of Multi-location Spare Parts Inventory System with Emergency Lateral Transshipments[J], Systems Engineering Theory & Practice, 2007,27(12):62-67.
    [203]Slack,Kefeng Xu, Philip T. Evers, Michael C. Fu. Estimating customer service in a two-location continuous review inventory model with emergency transshipments[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2003,145(3):569-584.
    [204]Beamon,Dirk Helbing, Christian Kuhnert. Assessing interaction networks with applications to catastrophe dynamics and disaster management[J], Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,2003,328(4):584-606.
    [205]Vonderembse,Nezih Altay, Walter G. Green Ⅲ. OR/MS research in disaster operations management[J], European Journal of Operational Research,2006,175(1):475-493.
    [206]Van landeghem,Liang Yan, Bao Jinsong, Hu Xiaofeng, Jin Ye. A heuristic project scheduling approach for quick response to maritime disaster rescue[J], International Journal of Project Management,2009,27(6):620-628.
    [207]Carmen G. Rawls, Mark A. Turnquist. Pre-positioning of emergency supplies for disaster response[J], Transportation Research Part B:Methodological,2009,152(4):760-781.
    [208]Jiuh-Biing Sheu. An emergency logistics distribution approach for quick response to urgent relief demand in disasters[J], Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):687-709.
    [209]D. Clay Whybark. Issues in managing disaster relief inventories[J], International Journal of Production Economics,2007,108(2):228-235.
NGLC 2004-2010.National Geological Library of China All Rights Reserved.
Add:29 Xueyuan Rd,Haidian District,Beijing,PRC. Mail Add: 8324 mailbox 100083
For exchange or info please contact us via email.