贝叶斯网络维修决策系统的开发与应用研究
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摘要
随着高技术装备的发展及其在现代高技术条件下局部战争中的应用,对武器装备的故障诊断与维修保障提出了越来越高的要求。使高技术装备具备快速诊断与维修能力,是增强装备战场抢修能力,提高装备的战备完好率、二次出动率和战斗力再生能力,保障战斗任务,降低装备的维护和保障费用的 要而有效的途径。
     本文在“十五”国防预研项目“基于信息融合的装备快速故障诊断技术”和总装维修改革项目“便携式二次电源智能测试系统”的支持下,充分利用贝叶斯网络的优点,针对装备故障诊断中的若干问题,将目前有关贝叶斯网络方面的相关理论研究应用到具体的设备维修实践中,开发了一套贝叶斯网络维修决策系统,并将该系统应用到二次电源设备的故障诊断与维修实践中,提高了对二次电源设备的维修能力。论文主要完成的工作包括:
     (1)在分析目前故障诊断与维修决策面临的主要问题的基础上,引入了基于贝叶斯网络的故障诊断与维修决策方法;通过对故障诊断与维修决策问题的一般描述和对诊断贝叶斯网络的表达方式和数学描述进行的介绍,对贝叶斯网络维修决策系统进行了功能分析和方案设计。
     (2)围绕目前贝叶斯网络在故障诊断领域进行应用的三个主要技术难点,即贝叶斯网络诊断模型的建造、贝叶斯网络的诊断模型推理与辅助维修决策、以及贝叶斯网络诊断模型自学习,设计了系统的实现方案,解决了以上技术难点,开发并完成了完整的辅助维修决策系统。
     (3)将本文开发的贝叶斯网络维修决策系统作为“便携式二次电源智能测试系统在线故障诊断平台”部分,以直升机二次电源系统为维修对象,应用并检验了该维修决策系统的有效性。应用结果表明,该系统对提高装备尤其是二次电源设备的快速故障诊断与维修能力具有较高的应用价值。
     综上所述,本文开发的贝叶斯网络维修决策系统,作为一个完整且相对独立的软件系统,实现了一个将贝叶斯网络从理论研究过渡到维修实践的成功应用案例。
With the development and application of high-tech weapons, their ability of fast fault diagnosis and maintenance support is becoming more and more important in modern war to enhance the behavior of weapon repair in battlefield, improve the rate of combat readiness and rebirth of battle effectiveness, and guarantee task success.This dissertation has been supported by two projects. One is the Research on Weapon's Fast Fault Diagnosis Technique Based on Data Fusion, and the other is the portable intelligent test system for secondary power supply. On the purpose of solving some problems in the weapon maintenance, a Bayesian network based fault diagnosis and maintenance decision software system has been developed, and applied in repairing of helicopter secondary power supply instrument.The main research work in this paper can be summarized as follows:(1) The key problems and popular description of fault diagnosis and maintenance decision behavior were analyzed first. Then, the expression method and mathematical description of the Bayesian network were described as well. After those, the function of Bayesian network based decision system was analyzed and its implementing scheme was given.(2) To solve the technical problems of the Bayesian network's usage in the fault diagnosis domain, including model construction, model inference and the model learning, respectively, the implementing scheme was realized and maintenance decision software was accomplished as a result.(3) With the integration with the portable intelligent test system for secondary power supply, the maintenance decision software has been developed as an online fault diagnosis platform. During the maintenance practice of helicopter, the maintenance decision system was tested and has been successfully improved its reliability.In a summary, this dissertation has developed a Bayesian network based maintenance decision system. With the integration of a test instrument, it realized a successful application case of transferring Bayesian network from theoretical research into maintenance practice.
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