河北省利用外商直接投资对生态环境的影响分析
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
经济规模、经济结构及科学技术水平等是决定环境质量的主要因素,引进外商直接投资会刺激经济增长,促进经济规模的扩大和产业结构的变动,通过投资规模和投资结构对投资所在地区的生态环境质量产生一定的影响作用。本文主要探讨外商直接投资与河北省生态环境的关系,深入分析了河北省利用FDI规模、产业分布、行业分布、地域分布对生态环境产生的现实性影响;利用河北省1984~2006年的工业“三废”排放量(工业固体废物选用产生量)和实际外商直接投资额,进行了格兰杰因果关系的检验,结果表明外商直接投资是造成河北省污染加剧的格兰杰原因;通过构建计量经济模型进行回归分析得出河北省实际外商直接投资与工业废水排放量和工业固体废物产生量都呈现“U型”曲线关系,而与工业废气排放量则呈近似“N型”曲线的关系,表明随着外商直接投资的不断增加河北省仍将处于工业污染水平不断上升的阶段。利用外商直接投资是加剧河北省生态环境恶化的因素之一,由此可能会影响河北省生态文明建设的实现进程。我们应该正确审视FDI对环境造成的实际影响,调整外商直接投资的结构,促进节约能源资源和保护生态环境的产业结构的形成,改善生态环境质量,以利于河北省生态环境的可持续发展。所以,本文最后在生态文明视角下分析了河北省利用FDI进行结构调整的必要性,并提出了引导外商直接投资更多流向农业、服务业、高新技术产业和环保产业;促进环境友好型技术的引进;加强环境规制,完善环境标准,充分发挥外商直接投资的环境正面影响;加大执法力度,加强环境保护监管:构建循环型经济社会运行体系等相关的政策建议,促使外商直接投资要有利于河北省的生态环境保护与建设。
Economic size, the economic structure and level of science and technology are the main factors to determine environmental quality. The introduction of foreign direct investment will stimulate economic growth, promote the expansion of the scale of economic and changes in the industrial structure, which will impact the local ecological environment to some extent through the scale of investment and the industrial structure. This paper mainly discusses the relationship between foreign direct investment and the ecological environment in Hebei Province, further analyzes the reality of the impact of FDI scale, industrial distribution, distribution of industries, geographical distribution to the ecological environment; makes the Granger causality test by using of the industrial "three wastes" emissions (selecting the production of industrial solid waste ) and the actual amount of foreign direct investment in Hebei Province from 1984 to 2006 which shows that foreign direct investment is the granger reasons of increased pollution in Hebei Province; constructs an econometric model which shows that actual foreign direct investment in Hebei Province and industrial waste water emissions and industrial solid wastes produced "U" curve, with industrial emissions are similar to a "N" Curve , and industrial pollution in Hebei Province is still in the rising level of the stage with the incease of foreign direct investment. Foreign direct investment aggravated the deterioration of ecological environment in Hebei Province, which may affect the ecological civilization construction in Hebei Province. We should look at he practical effect of FDI on the environment, adjust the structure, of foreign direct investment, promote the formation of the industrial structure and protect the ecological environment of the industrial structure, improve the ecological quality of the environment to facilitate the sustainable development of the ecological environment in Hebei Province. Therefore, the paper finally analyzes the need for restructuring of the use of FDI in Hebei Province in the perspective of the ecological civilization , and makes a guide for more foreign direct investment flowing to agriculture、services、high-tech industries and environmental protection industries , promoting the introduction of environment-friendly technology, strengthening environmental regulations, improving environmental standards and making full play to positive impact on the environment; increasing the intensity of law enforcement and strengthening environmental protection supervision, constructing the social system of recycle economy, and other relevant policy recommendations to promote foreign direct investment which should be beneficial to the protection and construction of the ecological environment in Hebei Province.
引文
[1]党的十七大报告.http://www.xinhuanet.com/17dajs/sqcljd.htm
    [2]夏友富.外商投资中国污染密集产业现状、后果及其对策研究[J].管理世界,1999,(3):109-123
    [3]赵细康.环境保护与产业国际竞争力--理论与实证分析[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2003
    [4]沙文兵,石涛.外商直接投资的环境效应-基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].世界经济研究,2006,(6):76-83
    [5]陈红蕾,陈秋锋.“污染避难所”假说及其在中国的检验[J].暨南学报,2006,(4):51-56
    [6]戴育琴,欧阳小迅.“污染天堂假说”在中国的检验[J].企业技术开发,2006,25(12):91-93
    [7]John A.List and Catherine Y.Co.(2000) "The Effects of Environmental Regulations on Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Vol 40,1-20
    [8]吴玉鸣.外商直接投资与环境规制关联机制的面板数据分析[J].经济地理,2007,27(1):11-14
    [9]熊鹰,徐翔.环境管制对中国外商直接投资的影响-基于面板数据模型的实证分析[J].经济评论,2007,(2):122-125
    [10]河北省统计局.1996年河北省经济统计资料[M].石家庄:河北省统计局,1996.1-6
    [11]郑立.中国各省区生态环境竞争力分析[J].环境保护,2007,(2):76-82
    [12]候伟丽.中国经济增长与环境质量[M].北京:科学出版社,2005.124-130
    [13]Boulding K E.The economic of the coming spaceship earth.In:Jarret H.Environmental quality in a growing economy.Bultimore:Johns Hopkins University Press,1966
    [14]Daly H E.Steady-state economics:the economics of biophysical equilibrium and moral growth.San Francisco:Freeman,1977
    [15]Panayotou T et al.Is the environmental kuznets curve driven by structural change? What extended time series may imply for developing countries,CAER Ⅱ Discussion Paper,NO.80,2000
    [16]Selden T M.Song D.Neoclassical growth,the J curve for abatement,and the inverted U curve for pollution.Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,1995,(2):162-168
    [17]Lighart J E,vander Ploeg F.Pollution,the cost of public funds and endogenous growth.Economic Letters,1994,(4):339-349
    [18]Lopepz R.The environment as a factor of production:the effects of economic growth and trade liberalization.Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,1994,(2):163-184
    [19]Grossman G M,Krueger A B.Economic growth andthe environment.The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1995,(2):353-377
    [20]沈满洪,许云华.一种新型的环境库兹涅茨曲线-浙江省工业化进程中经济增长与环境变迁的关系研究[J].浙江省社会科学,2000,4:53-57
    [21]袁雯,杨凯.上海城市环境经济系统发展过程的数量分析[J].地理研究,2002,21(1):97-100
    [22]曹光辉,汪锋,张宗益等.我国经济增长与环境污染关系研究[J].中国人口.资源与环境,2006,16(1):25-29
    [23]Birdsall,Nancy,Wheeler D.Trade policy and pollution in lation American:Where are the pollution Haven? Journal of Environment and Development(2),137-145,1993.
    [24]Jeffery Frankel,Andrew Rose.Is Trade Good or Bad for the Environment? Sorting out the Causality[M].India:Presented,Neemrana,2003.1
    [25]Zarsky L.Havens,Halos and Spaghetti:Untangling the Evidence about Foreign Direct Investment and the Environment[M].OECD conference on foreign direct investment and the environment,The Hague,1999
    [26]Jensen V.The Pollution Haven Hypothesis and the Industrial Flight Hypothesis:Some Perspectives on Theory and Empirics[R].Working Paper,Centre for Development and the Environment,University of Oslo.1996
    [27]World Bank.Is Globalization Causing a "Race to the Bottom" in Environmental standard?[R]PREM Economic Policy Group and Development Economics Group,2000.
    [28]Chichilnisky G.North-South Trade and the Global Environment[J].American Economics Review,1994,84,851-874
    [29]Copeland B,Taylor S.North-South Trade and Environment[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1994,109:755-787
    [30]Eskeland G,and HarrisonA.Moving to greener pasture? World Bank Working Paper,1997
    [31]Leonard H J.Pollution and the struggle for the world product.Cambridge University Press,1988
    [32]Eskeland G S,Harrison A E.Moving to greener pastures? multinationals and the pollution haven hypothesis.World Bank Policy Research Paper,1997
    [33]Wheeler D.Racing to the Bottom? Foreign Investment and Air Pollution in Developing Countries[R].Development Research Group,World Bank,2000
    [34]Lucas et al.Economic development,environmental regulation,and the international migration of toxic industrial pollution.1980---1988.In international Trade and the Environment.Patrick low.Washington DC:World Bank,1992
    [35]John A.List."USCounty - level Deteminants of Inbound FDI(2001):Evidence from a Two-step Modified Count Data Model," International Journal of Industrial Organization.Vol.19,953-973
    [36]Ozawa,Terutomo,2000,"The 'Flying-Geese' Paradigm:Toward a Co-evolutionary Theory of MNC-Assisted Growth",in K.Fatemi(ed.),"The New World Order:Internationalism,Regionalism and the Multinational Corporations",Amsterdam & New York:pp.209-223
    [37]Mani M,Wheeler D.In search of pollution havens? Dirty Industry in the World economy 1960-1995[R].PRDI,World Bank,1997
    [38]OECD.Foreign direct investment and the environment:an overview of The literature[R].1997
    [39]OECD.Environmental Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment in the Mining Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa,2002
    [40][日]小岛清.对外贸易论[M].天津:南开大学出版社,1987
    [41]李惠茹.引入资源与环境要素-利用外资政策调整的取向[J].国际贸易,2006,10:173-176
    [42]杨俊龙,张嫒嫒.外商直接投资与我国产业结构调整[J].宏观经济管理,2004,(7):40-43
    [43]魏后凯 刘长全.中国利用外资的负面效应及战略调整思路[J].河南社会科学,2006,14(5):21-26
    [44]赵红,张茜.外商直接投资对中国产业结构影响的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2006,(8):82-86
    [45]朱德明.产业结构失衡对可持续发展的影响与环境政策选择[J].环境科学动态,1998,(2):5-10
    [46]李亦明,魏凤祥.青岛市崂山区产业结构剖析及产业结构调整中的环境政策[J].山东环境2000,(2):12-15
    [47]李文君,杨明川,史培军.唐山市资源型产业结构及其环境影响分析[J].地理研究,2002,21(4):511-518
    [48]马小明,张立勋,戴大军.产业结构调整规划的环境影响评价方法及案例[J].北京大学学报,2003,39(4):565-572
    [49]侯安鑫.论环境保护与产业结构调整[J].山西能源与节能,2004,(3):35-36
    [50]亚洲开发银行技术援助项目3970咨询专家组.第三只眼睛看河北[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2005.1-180
    [51]河北省人民政府办公厅,河北省统计局,河北省社会科学院.河北经济年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1985-2007
    [52]国家发展和改革委员会.利用外资“十一五”规划.http://www.sdpc.gov.cn
    [53]孙敬水,马淑琴.计量经济学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2004.346-350
NGLC 2004-2010.National Geological Library of China All Rights Reserved.
Add:29 Xueyuan Rd,Haidian District,Beijing,PRC. Mail Add: 8324 mailbox 100083
For exchange or info please contact us via email.